Showing posts with label trending now. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trending now. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Major Trend Update: Definitions And Predictions - 11.28.12

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There are several terms which all Global Futurists, Strategic Planners And Marketers must become familiar with. These terms are already becoming the subject matter of numerous popular and scholarly articles as well as the nuclei for entire fields of academic and business concentration. Some are quite new, while others have been rolling around for several years already. I will note provide you with complete dissertations, but I will provide you with either basic definitions or with hyperlinks to some good source research material:

DRAMATIC CLIMATE CHANGE - The climate is getting warmer. In fact 2012, when the scores come in, will likely have been the warmest year worldwide in recorded history.

DESALINIZATION - The world's most essential commodity for the sustenance of life is water. And with increased climatic heating and the occasional mega-polluting BP catastrophe, pollution of water is becoming a problem of rapidly-growing proportions. The greatest source of water is the ocean, and the little nation of Israel has the best desalinization technology and plants worldwide. A true shortage of fossil fuels will occur after a worldwide shortage of potable water becomes a United Nations priority.

INFORMATION ASSURANCE - Integrity, security, safety and storage of data are becoming increasingly difficult with the advent of the cloud, reliance on computers, the growing sophistication of hackers, and the increasing use of mobile devices. There are entire careers developing around this special info-watchdog function. Read The Business And Project Planning And Management Blog for some details in terms of the issues and the opportunities.

GENETIC MEDICINE - Rather than trying to fight diseases with protocols involving antibiotics and antiviral drugs, more and more companies will be involving in trying to predict and prevent many diseases by gene mapping, finding disease "activator genes" and bolstering those genes which act as "suppressor genes." A related and inescapable term is bio-genetics and another is biomedical engineering.
MENTALISTS - Instead of using terms like behavioral analysts, psychics, hypnotists, NLP practitioners, interrogators, the whole art and science underlying each of these wondrous phenomena is now being referred to as mentalists. Purportedly, Mentalists are highly-trained, well practiced experts at analyzing non-verbal cues, body language, speech patterns and other cataloged habits (or "tells," with apologies to Simon Baker) and deriving conclusions based upon these keen observations in conformity with time-tested behavioral patterns.

DISRUPTION AND DISRUPTION (or DISRUPTIVE) INNOVATION - This is best defined by taking a look at The Disruption Theory And Disruption Innovation Blog. We used to call it "rapid change" or "displacement of markets." Now we have a fancy neologism.

NEUROMARKETING - This field is a cousin to subliminal programming, consumer behavioral psychology, impulse consumption, emotional triggers and a bit of inter-synaptic neurochemistry. You can find out much more about it by visiting (admission is free! While supplies last!) The Neuromarketing - Scientific Influence And Persuasion Blog.

And now, with the vocabulary section finished, here are a few things to start thinking about for the future: immediate, short-run, and longer term.

I'll offer you one: I believe that within the next three to five years, digital photography will become the industry standard and professional (social functions and portraits) photography will decline steeply in demand. Simultaneous with this, I predict that royalty-free stock photos are going to become cheaper and in more common usage.

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The items which follow have been excerpted from Thomas Frey's Future Trend Report, published by The DaVinci Institute. As I've said before, while I don't always agree with all of his predictions, Thomas always provides me with some interesting and compelling input as source material for the building of my blog, The Global Futurist Blog

The portions marked with [Editor's Comment] were inserted by the blogger - Douglas E. Castle 

Ray Kurzweil talks about the future workforce
Singularity University’s Vice President of Innovation and Research, Vivek Wadhwa, has written about why he believes this will be the most innovative decade in human history and how we are headed for an era of abundant and affordable health care, and how robotics, artificial intelligence and 3D printing will lead to an era of local manufacturing in which the creative class flourishes.
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Text message use falls in the U.S. for first time ever
Around the world, text-message traffic has been declining because Internet-powered alternatives are becoming so widely used. American cell carriers have fought off the decline until now. [Editor's Note: Texting does not permit the vast scope other multi-sensorial inputs and features offered by alternative mobile applications, particularly those which permit transmittal of still images and/or video clips]
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Six electronic gadgets you can control with your mind
Brain-computer interface (BCI) has been a favorite of science fiction movies for a long time. So, forget about keyboard, mouse, touch screens or even voice recognition: the real dream is thinking about what you want your gadget to do.
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The world's top cities for startups
The world’s unquestionable leader in generating high-tech start-ups that launch new technologies that change the way we live and work is Silicon Valley. Many cities around the world have tried to emulate its success. But until recently, the data has been lacking to calibrate and rank how far they have come.
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Social media in the workplace - Is anyone actually working?
It seems like almost everyone is social today.  Every minute, Twitter users average 100,000 tweets, Facebook users post 684,478 pieces of content, Tumblr blog owners publish 27,778 new posts and Flickr users add 3,125 new photos. Facebook and Twitter are great tools for connecting and communicating with people in our social lives, or for brands communicating with customers, the real value of pure-play social tools as standalone applications within a business has yet to be proven.
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Top 5 trends that will change HR in the future
When you look at HR trends people tend to look at what we do today and discuss ways it can be done better in the future. Applications and tools for recruiting, training, on-boarding, etc. are being developed at dizzying rates. The problem is that these new HR innovations are going to have a short half life.

[Editor's Note: Having dealt with Human Resources Departments and personnel before, and on too many occasions, they are, in my opinion, the least qualified persons making some of the most key personnel decisions - especially in larger companies -- with current "online job application techniques,' they don't ever receive or review cover letters, and provide no create way (in their automated computer field format) for prospects to differentiate themselves or to explain special extenuating or extra qualifying circumstances. The process is becoming increasingly a study in statistical matching instead of a necessary humanitarian interaction. If something poses a problem for HR departments and personnel, it actually makes me smile...]
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Wharton School and startup Evolv use big data to predict when you will quit your job
You did everything by the book when you went in for that job interview. But, after going through all the effort, would you feel slighted if the interviewer made the ultimate decision about whether or not to hire you based on an algorithm? [please refer to the Editor's previous comment]. Sadly, algorithms are only as good as the input data and the programmers who design them. Pattern recognition is not intuitive intelligence or "chemistry." It is a cheap means of stuffing applicants into prefabricated containers.]
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Boom in app development lures coders but it's tough to make a living

Over the last two years Shawn and Stephanie Grimes have spent much of their time in pursuing their dream of doing research and development for Apple, the world’s most successful corporation. [Editor's Comment: Perhaps brilliant programmers, designers and coders need 1) self-esteem training and 2) a participation in the revenue or profits associated with the programs, designs, templates, systems and applications which they devlop. Remember incentive management?]
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NASA launches Big Data Challenge
NASA along with a couple other government agencies have kicked off a series of TopCoder challenges designed to find innovative solutions to the government’s big data problems. The first contest is all about making disparate, incompatible data sets usable and actually valuable across agencies.
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Streaming video viewed on tablets is up 90%
There has been a dramatic increase over the last six months in the amount of streaming videocontent veiwed on tablet devices, according to a report released by Ooyala’s Q3 Global Video Index. (Infographic)
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Makeup may be the key to a woman's success
In a recent study  from the Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Procter And Gamble, and Boston University, they had a sampling of over 200 individuals, both men and women, participants rated women wearing makeup as more competent than women without makeup. [Editor's Note: And gentlemen wearing Armani Suits, Patek Phillipe watches, Bruno Magli footwear and sporting Montblanc pens are probably viewed as more competent than chaps in $150.00 suits, Hush Puppies and bathed in drugstore colognes.]
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The item which follows has been excerpted from the SmartBrief Newsletter For Nutritionists. It appears that, at least for 2013, the trend will be (amongst the gustatory cognoscenti) toward 1) eating more vegetables and less meats and processed foods; 2) eating raw, uncooked but appetizingly prepared veggie-centered dishes; and 3) consuming fewer calories. As I've mentioned before, in experiments with rodents, a 40% reduction in caloric intake corresponded with a 20% increase in lifespan.  Joyously, we have a client at CrowdFunding Incubator (Chef Brian Au) who is a renowned expert at the preparation and presentation of raw foods.

The forecasts generated by SmartBrief's collection of topically-oriented newletters tend to be highly accurate and observable within the near-term (as in 1 to 2 years), as opposed to The Future Trend Reports more generalized predictions over a longer time horizon (5 to 25 years).  SmartBrief always provides me with some interesting and compelling input as source material for the building of my blog, The Global Futurist Blog.

Low-calorie diet may reduce the risk of age-related diseases
Calorie restriction was associated with a slower aging process in the mitochondria of cells, resulting in a lower risk of age-related diseases including diabetes and heart disease, researchers wrote in the journal Nature. A low-calorie diet appeared to retain the cell membrane's acidity levels, which reduced the degradation of the mitochondria, researchers reported. Yahoo/Asian News International (11/22) 


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Thank you as always for reading me, and for retweeting me, as well.

Douglas E. Castle for

The Global Futurist Blog
The Internationalist Page Blog
The Braintenance Blog
The Crowd Funding RSS Feeds Blog
The CrowdFunding Incubator Blog and the CrowdFunding Incubator Website, due to launch tomorrow!
 




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Wednesday, June 22, 2011

Entrepreneurs, Small Businesses And Consumers: A New Trend Toward Activism.

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Entrepreneurs, Small businesses and consumers, rising up in righteous indignation, are leaning less toward benign resignation to enslavement by the few, and more toward activism in a groundswell of disgust with the status quo. Social media has played a great role in this.

The US population is becoming increasingly frustrated and disgusted with the abuses visited upon them by monopolistic, unresponsive utilities companies and governmentally-endorsed service-providers. As author of The Global Futurist, I felt compelled to share this excerpted Yahoo! News article with my fellow entrepreneurs, thought-leaders, business owners, project managers, strategic planners and trend-spotters.

The notion of "Moving Off Of The Grid" is one that is rapidly catching fire amongst the consumer and small business population. They have become increasingly distrustful of these largely uncontrolled organizations. I believe that this signifies a very significant trend that is going to lead to an increased growth in what I shall term "bypass services" -- services that can be used to bypass the local reigning monopolists.

Further, I believe that this trend and tendency will cross many different service sectors from automobile fuels, to energy sources, to telecommunications, to transportation, to healthcare and a variety of other services upon which the populace has come to depend.

This is increasingly evidenced by the acceptance of the idea of sustainability, the market movement toward hybrid automobiles, alternative energy source utilization and the cutting of any umbilical cord which leads to a controlling, monopolistic, plutocratic and domineering mother-figure utility or dominant territorial service provider who likely paid for the territory won in a transaction that was not structured in the public interest.

This increasing distrust of large utilities, sole-source suppliers, and of government-at-large is being further spurred by the proliferation of negative news and transparency created by the growing popularity and ready accessibility of social media. Add a few "classified" documents disseminated by such organizations as WikiLeaks, and the anti-establishment is slowly but surely growing.

It is almost a cultural throwback to the late 1960s and early 1970s in the United States where our gas-guzzling musclecars (yet to experience our first artificially-created exploitative 'gasoline shortage') sported decorative (but thought-provoking) bumper stickers which imparted such wisdom as "Question Authority" and "Visualize World Peace"...with the occasional dark-windowed van sporting something more portentious, such as "The Only Solution Is Revolution."

The trend spells a grassroots groundswell of discontentment and activism. It will be fascinating to see how far this movement will be permitted to escalate and proclaim itself before it is either palliated or repressed by the most powerful and elite elements who are the puppeteers holding most of the strings, and most of the cards, as well.

Regardless, our conformist domestic and global cultures are starting to become riled after years of mainstream media-induced hypnotism and reliance on "too-big-to-fail" bulwark establishments. This has the potential to create an environment which will be increasingly receptive to entrepreneurship, small businesses, and [hopefully] a bit of re-Humanization.

Here is the article:

NetflixHelps People Cut Cable Cord, Report Says

nytimes

NICK BILTON, On Wednesday June 15, 2011, 4:23 pm EDT
It has now been a couple of years since I cut my cable and began exclusively watching Internet video on my home television. I still feel that it was one of the wiser decisions I've made with technology, saving me hundreds of dollars a year and countless headaches dealing with a cable company.

But was this just a move to be expected of a techie? Some have speculated that cutting the cable cord is simply a fad. But a new report issued on Wednesday suggests that if it is a fad, it's one that's moving into the mainstream.

The report, the result of a survey of 2,000United Statesadultbroadbandusers, found that people who useNetflixto streamInternet videoto their televisions are twice as likely to cancel, or slim down, theircable televisionoptions as they were a year ago.The report comes from the Diffusion Group, aDallas-based media research firm.

When the Diffusion Group surveyed Netflix members in 2010, they found that 16 percent of customers were planning to downgrade or cancel theircable televisionservice. During the same survey this year, the number of customers planning to make that change had doubled to 32 percent.

The report also found that although the majority of those surveyed cited economic reasons and "the need to save money" as a rationale for canceling cable, 34 percent said a growing use ofonline video was the culprit, "two-thirds of which citeNetflix in particular as the primary perpetrator," the report says.

Now, instead of having only the option to pay a cable company to deliver content, people have an array of choices and devices. Netflixclearly saw this trend coming, and over the past year has started offering its video content on mobile phones, tablets, computers, game consoles, or devices that hook up to a television, including Boxee and Apple TV. The company also began offering customers a streaming-only option late last year. ####

Perhaps some positive change will blossom from this new season of discontent. I hope so. Expect interesting times ahead for cult leaders, thought-leaders, innovators, and entrepreneurs. Ultimately, consumers stand to benefit the most.

Faithfully,

Douglas E Castle

Original Published Title Of This Article By Author Douglas E Castle, Chairman of TNNWC: "CONSUMERS AND BUSINESSES - MOVING OFF OF THE GRID."



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NOTICE: This article is Copyright © 2011 by author Douglas E Castle with all rights reserved. It may be republished without permission provided that it is published in full, with all hyperlinks and exhibits left intact, and with full attribution given the author. This article does not contain or constitute medical, health, psychological, legal, regulatory, investment, securities, financial, tax, or any other form of professional advice -- the reader acknowledges and accepts this disclaimer. Further, the reader indemnifies and holds harmless both the author and all publications in which this article appears of any damages, claims, loss, responsibility or liability emerging from the reader’s utilization of any information contained herein.


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Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Thomas Frey's Blog - An Excellent Additional Resource For FUTURISTS, INTERNATIONALISTS and Members Of TNNWC Group.

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Thomas Frey's Blog - An Excellent Additional Resource For FUTURISTS, INTERNATIONALISTS and Members Of TNNWC Group.

Dear Friends:

I am adding a link to a wonderful new resource -- The Futurist Speaker -- http://www.futuristspeaker.com/ -- to THE GLOBAL FUTURIST, my blog at http://theglobalfuturist.blogspot.com/ .

This is a blog produced by Thomas Frey, Senior Futurist at the DaVinci Institute, and Google's top rated futurist speaker. Unlike most speakers, Tom works closely with his Board of Visionaries to develop original research studies, which enables him to speak on unusual topics, translating trends into unique opportunities.

Tom is an excellent writer with a very logical, coherent and non-politicized style of writing; he is also a top-rated speaker. I am inclined to agree with a great many of his trend citings and views. He is affiliated with The DaVinci Institute.

Please take a look at http://www.futuristspeaker.com/, and observe for yourself. It is my expectation that I will be referring to him very frequently as a resource in The National Networker Weekly Newsletter, The BLUE TUESDAY Report, and in other publications and bulletins published by TNNWC Group, LLC [you may join us for free by simply clicking on http://bit.ly/JoinTNNWC ]

His writing is not only unparalleled, but I believe that he uses spellcheck...I'm still saving up to get it.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle

Labels, Tags and Keywords: Thomas Frey, futurism, trending now, technological trends, strategic planning, being prepared, The Davinci Institute, TNNWC, articles by Douglas Castle, The Internationalist Page, The Global Futurist, The National Networker Companies, buzz, Staying Ahead Of The Curve, blogs 

Douglas Castle
Join my TNNWC Group, LLC collaborative business community (GICBC) at no cost by clicking on http://bit.ly/JoinTNNWC.

Sunday, July 25, 2010

The Misguided Notion of "TRENDING NOW" - Douglas Castle

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The Misguided Notion of "TRENDING NOW" - Douglas Castle

Dear Fellow Futurists and Friends:

The latest fad to stick itself between the eyes of every informationally overburdened and sensorially bombarded "gotta know everything now...gotta be up-to-the-minute...news monkey and aspiring corporate climber (despite the notable absence of ladders, steps, and destinations) is the "Trending Now" dynamic ticker that you can see on the homepages or opening pages of all of the major computer hosting and service providers (Google, Yahoo!, Bing, AOL, MSN and a growing number of others).

This feature, which is really a dynamically updated ranking of the top 10, 20 or 30 topics which are most frequently searched by the public at any given moment, is supposed to be extremely meaningful. If they were financial data, they might be useful, but all we can glean from these ticker displays are the fads of the moment. Ironically, they are not even trends -- they are ranked search frequencies as of the moment of measurement. The fact that so many of them change so rapidly attests to their volatility (perhaps a function of some combination of intensity of news story saturation and the fickle and limited nature of many people's attention spans.

Now if you were to isolate a particular search topic and follow its relative positioning daily over a length of time; or, if you were to codo the same thing with two different brands, or ideologies or atmospheric gases...well then, you would be citing a trend. A trend is a measurement of change or tendency in a particular variable over a period of time. The difference between a "Trending Now" display and a "Trend" per se is analogous to the difference between a point and a line.  A point can (possibly) be observed, but its direction is unknown. It takes several points to plot a trend line, or to plot two or more competitive trend lines in a comparative or correlative analysis of  brands or  products. And these points are gathered over time.

If you'd like to see a trend instead of a daily ranking (this is safe experiement which you can do at home without setting the house on fire or putting your kid brother's eye out), just use the same "Trending Now" report, choose a "hot" topic (i.e., Lady Gaga) and examine it daily to see which position it occupies daily. Plot a chart based upon rank. Then, as ranking rises or falls, you can site a trend, or direction. You may even plot a graph with percentage changes and other exciting (stifled yawn) metrics! See how easy this Futurism thing can be?

In Futurism, we do not seek to just 'get the point' -- we seek to find the best-fitting line, and extend it using a combination of skills.

NOTE: By the way, you'll likely notice that the fastest risers tend to plummet the most precipitously, while the slower climbers have a tendency to occupy a higher ranking position (on average) for longer.

Let's just remember that a momentary ranking is not indicative of a trend.

Class dismissed!

Faithfully, and wishing you a wonderfully vertical success path, I am,

Douglas Castle


Douglas Castle
Join my TNNWC Group, LLC collaborative business community (GICBC) at no cost by clicking on http://bit.ly/JoinTNNWC.

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