Showing posts with label futurescape. Show all posts
Showing posts with label futurescape. Show all posts

Friday, June 5, 2015

Top Five Techno Trends: The Next Five Years -- Douglas E. Castle - The Global Futurist

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During the course of these next five years, several macro-trends are emerging for all futurists, strategists and investment professionals to observe closely. While I do not offer investment, financial, tax, legal or accounting advice in this article, any prudent businessperson should take heed of these sweeping macro-trends:

1) Technology will become increasingly smaller;

2) Technology will become increasingly multifunctional;

3) Technology will become increasingly either wearable on the Human body or implantable (think of applied nanotechnology) within the Human body;

4) Technology will be increasingly integrated with Human physiology and psychology;

5) Technology will become significantly capable of sending and receiving data, and acting upon it, in terms of self-regulation (think of a very futuristic thermostat).

It is unquestionable that biometrics, biofeedback, miniaturization technologies and all of the macro-trends described briefly above will represent the approaching intimacy of the relationship between Human and machine. Devices will be seen as enhancements to Human health, intelligence and capabilities. We will become increasingly dependent upon these devices, rendering us increasingly vulnerable to those who control or who can commandeer this technology.

Yes. It's going to be a brave new world - but with some major dangerous dependencies lying in wait.

Thank you, as always, for reading me.

Douglas E Castle

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THE GLOBAL FUTURIST – Douglas E Castle

http://theglobalfuturist.blogspot.com

Discovering and following significant trends across an extensive range of domestic and international consumer, business, demographic, cultural, economic, political, technological and other key areas of influence and impact on life and business; predicting future change, preparing for it and profiting from it.

Key Terms: business, forecasting, trends, future, prediction, disruption, displacement, innovation, complexity theory, economic waves and cycles, projections, planning

Saturday, September 29, 2012

CYBERWARFARE: Not "IF" But "WHEN".

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Cyberwarfare is here. There have already been attacks, both domestic and foreign in origin where a sophisticated and specialized virus was used to either steal data, destroy computer drives and systems, and, ultimately [referring to the case of the Stuxnet virus which crippled Iran's rapidly-developing nuclear facilities] targeting and destroying or neutralizing physical facilities. Consider these as warnings of our dependencies and vulnerabilities to computer-run lives.

Bear in mind that virtually all of every industrialized nation's infrastructure (i.e., power, traffic lights, communications, power plants, reservoirs, air transportation, military, police, fire departments, capital markets and almost every other thing that is essential to a civilization as we have come to know it) is completely dependent upon "nerve centers" of computers for automation and ongoing operation of everything. We have all, as individuals and as nation states, become completely dependent and addicted to computer technology.

With major international cyberwarfare (nation against nation, or groups of nations against groups of other nations divided by ideology, ethnicity, level of economic development, availability of fuels and key resources, etc.) it is not a matter of possibility, or even of probability -- it is simply a matter of when it will happen, who will initiate it, and what (or whom) the target will be.

Society's greatest enemy is also its greatest protector - the expert computer hacker. And nations invested in cyberdefense are recruiting hackers into their governments and into their military forces. What an irony. A brief article in The New York Times follows:




September 26, 2012

Cyberwarfare Emerges From Shadows for Public Discussion by U.S. Officials

WASHINGTON — For years, even as the United States carried out sophisticated cyberattacks on Iran’s nuclear program and the Pentagon created a Cyber Command, officials have been hesitant to discuss American offensive cyberwarfare programs openly. Since June, in fact, F.B.I. agents have been investigating leaks to The New York Times about the computer attacks on Tehran.

But the reticence is giving way. The chorus of official voices speaking publicly about American cyberattack strategy and capabilities is steadily growing, and some experts say greater openness will allow the United States to stake out legal and ethical rules in the uncharted territory of computer combat. Others fear that talking too boldly about American plans could fuel a global computer arms race.

Next month the Pentagon’s research arm will host contractors who want to propose “revolutionary technologies for understanding, planning and managing cyberwarfare.” It is an ambitious program that the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, or Darpa, calls Plan X, and the public description talks about “understanding the cyber battlespace,” quantifying “battle damage” and working in Darpa’s “cyberwar laboratory.”

James A. Lewis, who studies cybersecurity at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, says he sees the Plan X public announcement as “a turning point” in a long debate over secrecy about cyberwarfare. He said it was timely, given that public documents suggest that at least 12 of the world’s 15 largest militaries are building cyberwarfare programs.

“I see Plan X as operationalizing and routinizing cyberattack capabilities,” Mr. Lewis said. “If we talk openly about offensive nuclear capabilities and every other kind, why not cyber?”
Yet like drone aircraft, which similarly can be used for both spying and combat, American cyberattack tools now are passing through a zone of semisecrecy, no longer denied but not fully discussed. President Obama has spoken publicly twice about drones; he has yet to speak publicly on American cyberattacks.

Last week, at a public Cyber Command legal conference, the State Department’s top lawyer, Harold H. Koh — who gave the Obama administration’s first public speech on targeted killing of terrorists in 2010 — stated the administration’s position that the law of war, including such principles as minimizing harm to civilians, applies to cyberattacks.
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What are the implications for the near-term and the longer-term? The Global Futurist Blog examines them, and makes some trend-supported predictions:

1) CEOs, world leaders and the Elders of dynastic families will form strategic partnerships and alliances with skilled hackers;

2) An increased percentage of the budget of every business, government and dynastic family's income and assets will spent upon or invested in computer security;

3) The unspoken demand for hackers as either espionage participants of as security consultants will be greater (within the next 12 months) than the demand for any other type of professional or worker;

4) Government and quasi-government agencies (such as contractors) will be conducting limited cyber attack exercises on innocent civilians domiciled in their own countries and in foreign countries. There will be colossal collateral damage and a great deal of lying and whitewashing in order to cover it up by those responsible for giving the orders;

5) While true Artificial Intelligence is something that will be developed in the more distant future, a great deal of the world military's technological focus will be on combining computer science with robotics and weaponry.

Douglas E. Castle for The Global Futurist Blog, The Internationalist Page Blog and The Links 4 Life Alerts Blog.  


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Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Six Trending Indicators at 7/20/2011 - Evaluate, Extrapolate, Forecast and Prepare.

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These trends and general forecasts have been collected from a variety of sources, but will impact every single aspect of how we Humans, as a species, will live - the economy, the neighborhood, the regulatory proclivities of government, healthcare, aging, housing, quality of life, prevalence of and dependence upon growing technological enhancements, sustainability, the environment, and so many other things. The excerpts presented here are just a small cross-section of what I feel may be worthy of your attention.

Remember: knowledge is power, but only if it is applied.

Remember: vision is the extrapolation of trends enhanced by intuition and imagination - to deny your vision is not only to disrespect yourself, but it is to abdicate your responsibility to yourself and Humankind to mold the future, or to proactively prepare for the future. Letting the future rule you without your ever having cast a single vote is completely leaving your destiny to chance.

6 Trending Indicators at 7/20/2011 - Evaluate, Extrapolate, Forecast and Prepare.

Some article excerpts follow, with a miniscule amount of my input. Position yourself to go through the processes of extrapolation, imagination and be open to intuition. Engage in the exercise of Futurism. You're invited. It is truly an amalgam of art, science and other "mystical processes."



Census Update: What the World Will Look like in 2050
Time.com – Thu, Jun 30, 2011

Here is the world in 2050, as imagined by the U.S. Census Bureau: India will be the most populous nation, surpassing China sometime around 2025. The U.S. will remain exactly where it is now: in third place, with a population of 423 million (up from 308 million in 2010). And declining birth rates in two of the world's most economically and politically influential countries, Japan and Russia, will cause them to fall from their current positions as the 9th and 10th most populous nations, respectively, to 16th and 17th.

The findings are the result of population estimates and projections of 228 countries compiled by the U.S. Census Bureau's International Data Base (IDB). MORE

 

Global leaders call for a major shift to decriminalize drugs

by Liz Goodwin | The LookoutWed, Jun 1, 2011


A slew of big-name former politicians are endorsing a report that says the war on drugs is not working and that drug enforcement policy needs to fundamentally change. The Global Commission on Drug Policy will urge a "paradigm shift" that emphasizes public health over criminalization tomorrow at a meeting in New York City, The Guardian reports.

Those backing the report include former Mexican President Ernesto Zedillo, former UN Secretary General Kofi Annan, former U.S. Secretary of State George Shultz and former Fed Chair Paul Volcker. Former elected leaders of Greece, Brazil and Colombia have also signed on. MORE

How to cure aging: One drug can extend life span

By Boonsri Dickinson | July 7, 2011, 9:44 AM PDT - SmartPlanet

Scientists believe they’ve found a drug that can slow down premature aging in mice and could one day be used to extend human life. This is the story of a drug called rapamycin, nicknamed the forever young drug. The key chemical in this drug was discovered in the soil on the famed, remote Easter Island, reports Technology Review.

Previously, the drug’s wonderful fountain of youth effects were seen in only in invertebrates such as fruit flies, yeast and nematode worms, where it helped cells manufacture new proteins and kept bad cells at bay. But now, the scientists are seeing that it has similar effects on the aging process in mammals. MORE


Consumers embrace mobile commerce globally: 91% in UK and 79% in Brazil have used mobile to engage in commerce

Submitted by Paul Skeldon on July 12, 2011 – Internet Retailing

Consumer engagement with mobile commerce has exploded, with as many as 91% of UK consumers having used their mobile device for commerce, to either research or purchase a product. The equivalent figure for Brazil is 79%, while the level did not dip below 72% in any of the markets surveyed.

According to figures in the Global Consumer Survey from MEF, the global community for mobile content and commerce, 82% of UK respondents access the mobile web on a daily basis, slightly less than the 84% that do so in Brazil. The high level of mobile web and commerce activity dovetail with a reduction in fixed-line internet usage: 41% of Brazilians and more than one-third (34%) of UK respondents now access the internet on their PCs less often than 18 months ago. MORE




The Mobile Way to Biz - by Romy Ribitzky Jul 12 2011 - Portfolio.Com
Carrying a smartphone and a tablet is no longer a business luxury, according to a majority of small businesses. It's a must-have for propelling companies forward, pushing revenues, and landing new clients, finds a survey from The Business Journals.
It's hard to imagine a Millennial entrepreneur or startup leader without a smartphone, tablet, or other mobile device lurking near.

Just 28 years after the first IBM personal computer debuted, the business world—and especially the small- and emerging-business sectors—is embracing mobility, with 59 percent saying wireless services are essential to their business, according to a survey conducted by The Business Journals of 2,223 business owners, CEOs, and presidents of companies with fewer than 500 employees. Read MORE: http://www.portfolio.com/business-news/2011/07/12/mobile-professional-trends-for-2011#ixzz1SbJ4uEHz



FDA plans to regulate some mobile phone apps
APAP – 9 hrs ago July 19th

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Food and Drug Administration is taking the first steps toward regulating the rapidly expanding field of medical applications, or apps, for smart phones and other handheld devices.

With the rise of the iPhone, Android and other mobile devices has come a flood of applications designed to help people stay healthy. Industry analysts estimate there are already more than 17,000 medical applications available, ranging from calorie counters to programs that let doctors view medical scans on their phones.

The FDA says it will begin regulating a handful of these programs that pose the greatest risk if they don't work appropriately.

In a draft proposal, the agency says it will regulate applications that combine with medical devices already regulated by the agency, such as heart monitors that transmit to a smartphone. [end of article extracts]

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One hint to be offered is that at least three of the article extracts are somewhat auto-correlative; that is to say that they relate to a similar topic or topics, so when you are reviewing these bits of data, your mind will have a propensity to focus on these as being more highly significant and you may assign them higher "weights." This is a human behavioral propensity that it is important to be aware of -- sometimes it is the the data provider's way of insinuating his or he own opinion into your evaluation, and sometimes it just happens to do with the frequency of a topic in the media. Anyway, give this bias, deliberate or not, due consideration.

My observation is simply this. Doors are opening -- some of them spell opportunity, and a few of them (the ones which ominously creak as they open) would be far better slammed tightly shut and permanently sealed.

You can tell me which is which. Or perhaps there might be an opportunity (for those with comple 360-degree vision) where others see intrusion, exclusion, invasiveness, the "Nanny State," or dangerous dependencies.

Faithfully,

Douglas E Castle
http://theglobalfuturist.blogspot.com/
http://www.tnnwc.com/

Related articles - Choke Back That Nausea! Have A Look. These are additional articles regarding the above content in The Global Futurist.

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