Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Colonizing Space: Expanding Our Horizons And Potentialities.

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Dyson sphere, Dyson ring, Niven ring, Dyson sw...Dyson sphere, Dyson ring, Niven ring, Dyson swarm in DONUT version, folding combo (Photo credit: Wikipedia)Whether it involves building large, space-borne artificial living environments (space stations) for great numbers of people, or the settling and colonization of habitable planets in either our solar system or other stellar systems, the possibility of living off-planet is one that, while occasionally viewed as far-fetched, warrants consideration, imagination and discussion.

It may become necessary at some time in the not-so-terribly-distant future for numerous reasons. As a Global Futurist, this type of general exploration of ideas is the genesis seed for the strategic plan and its enabling technologies which might eventually serve to save our species from a host of potential survival hazards, some based upon existing trends and forecasts, and some based upon completely unforeseen possibilities.

The ability to rapidly and successfully mobilize is a very crucial survival skill for any living creature or group. It is not about conquest -- it is about surviving and thriving.

Were the Earth to become uninhabitable (or even undesirable), alternative locations for life to continue would be the next logical step in our survival and further social evolution. There could also be some unforeseeable advantages associated with spreading out the entire species over a far greater space, and allowing for separate experiences culled from a far greater and more diverse environment to enrich the collective knowledge and abilities of our species.

The article excerpt which follows appears courtesy of BigThink, a frequent resource for The Global Futurist Blog and for a number of my Twitter Feeds -- you may obtain a list of these feeds, some of which you may choose to follow at The Twitterlinks Hubspot Blog.

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What We Need to Settle in Outer Space

What's the Latest Development?
A working list of conditions that must be met before humans can begin settling in space has been drawn up by the Space Studies Institute, a non-profit that advocates opening up the resources in space for human benefit. The institute's new president, Gary Hudson, has unveiled The Great Enterprise Initiative which is "designed to outline the technologies and other capabilities needed to enable the long-term goal of space settlement, and to host multiple projects in relevant areas." The institute's former president was Freeman Dyson. [more].


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While I usually like to limit my trend-spotting and prognostication efforts and writings to the realms of social, political and economic possibilities, science and technology are the most fascinating for me, as they offer the greatest opportunities to completely exercise and liberate my imagination and visualization skills and experiences.

Aside from the possibilities of global climate change, harsh acts of Nature, nuclear disasters, devastating wars, dangerously restrictive governments and numerous others hazards facing Humanity, one of the things which I believe to be true of any individual, company, country, civilizations or species is that when we cease to grow and expand, we begin to die. If we don't move ahead, we fall behind...even if we think that we are standing still.

Colonizing off-planet is no longer a mere dream. It is a possibility with an ever-increasing probability of occurrence. Spreading the Human race and genome out over the vastness of the universe holds great possibilities for the further education, evolution, advancement and successful survival of our species.

Remember this: Just sixty six years after the Wright Brothers' first flight of approximately 100 yards, the United States landed an astronaut on the Moon. Technology and its associated capabilities advance at an ever-accelerating pace. And the curve which illustrates this points toward the heavens.

Douglas E. Castle







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Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Futurism: The Knee-Jerk Versus The Systemic Change

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Predicting the future is a very tricky business. If you paint distant futurescapes, you'll likely be gone by the time your projection is either proven or fails to materialize...If you're ostracized, you won't be around (probably) to have to suffer humiliation -- if your futurescape actually comes into being -- you'll be complimented, albeit posthumously [i.e., you will not be able to collect your prize or cash your check].

Predicting the one- to three-year term is very precarious - you'll be around for your neighbors and colleagues to poke fun at (if you're wrong), and if you're right the time span will not have been enough for you to be truly honored as a visionary.

If you predict short term swings in the capital markets, and you're wrong, you'll have to rationalize to your disgruntled followers or clients. If you're right, you'll probably be investigated for manipulating the markets or for abusing insider information and self-dealing.

But the biggest challenge at the outset of the predictive process has to do with determining which events are truly the beginnings of major cycles, waves or trends that will affect major systems, or if they are merely knee-jerk reactions or media-made 'hot air balloons'.

When I report on something and use a "dated" article or a slightly-aged (usually by one to three months) study to support my forecast or prediction, it is precisely because I believe that a bit of additional examination/observation and a slight passage of time (for reaction) are two critical parts of distinguishing between whether our radar is picking up a signal from a seagull or from a meteorite headed for the Earth.

Anything less is irresponsible. As a sentient Human Being, I must keep my impulses controlled and my reflexes in check to be certain that the fellow coming toward me is pulling out a gun, or a business card.

Now you're better informed as to how the mind of The Global Futurist Douglas E Castle works, and I feel as if I've made some headway toward being understood and appreciated. We're both a bit better off.

Thank you for letting me vent. - DEC






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Tuesday, April 3, 2012

LinkedIn Button And Other Sharing Tools

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Nobody enjoys these tests; least of all, those of us who have to go through the arduous process of running them. This particular test has to do with a slight reformatting of the blog, and with giving my readers a panel of sharing tools right at the beginning of each article (including a LinkedIn sharing button - rare and precious) in the form of some neat-looking buttons. If you find them helpful, make good use of them and enjoy the convenience which they offer you.

If you don't like buttons, try to make the best of the situation by pretending you're headed downward on an elevator after having been through an annoying meeting and looking forward to being finished with work for the day. Try for a relaxed, "homecoming" feeling.

Thank you as always, colleagues, readers and friends.

By the way, Linked In is getting a great deal of attention. Please take a few moments to have a look at the Related Articles below.

Douglas E. Castle

The Global Futurist Blog

p.s. Since you've been kind enough to stay with me for this length of time, I will attempt to add some "party conversation starting quotation" value to this post, with a quote from my closest associate, Mr. Douglas E. Castle:

"Prepare for the future, because the present moment becomes history all too quickly."

Again, thank you. This has been a test. Resume your normal routine, good citizens.



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