Showing posts with label articles by Douglas E Castle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label articles by Douglas E Castle. Show all posts

Friday, October 19, 2012

Cellular Phone Towers: Hidden Investment Treasure

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In a challenging economy, leasing cellular telephone towers might turn out to be a wonderful investment. Although The Global Futurist Blog does not render tax, investment, accounting, financial or legal advice to any of our readers, these structures are landscape fixtures which are increasing in utility and value by the day. Sale-leaseback transactions might carry some wonderful annuitized income as well as some offsetting depreciation. Here's a snapshot:

You've probably seen plenty of cell towers (in increasing numbers) along the highways and major roads as you've traveled. You might've thought that they looked unattractive (or that they emitted some sort of dangerous electromagnetic energy). You might have grinned inwardly as you thought that your cellular telephone reception would begin to improve, with greater clarity and fewer dropped calls - you might've sneaked a peek at your device to count the bars (or martini stirrers, as we cellularphiles [a Lingovation] like to call them).

Maybe we were missing the most significant news of all about these high-volume, signal sending, networked beasties -- the financial and leasing aspects of use and ownership of these money mills! The article which follows might prove enticing to those of us infused with the entrepreneurial spirit.

T-Mobile nets $2.4 billion from leasing cell towers
T-Mobile USA will reap $2.4 billion from a deal to allow Crown Castle International to operate the carrier's 7,200 cell towers in a leasing agreement that expands Crown's tower total to more than 37,000. T-Mobile will earmark the funds to acquire 4G spectrum and upgrade its Long-Term Evolution network. CNET (9/28), Bloomberg (9/28)

Sounds to me to be a wonderful investment. Despite the environmental and potential physiological concerns associated with ambient electromagnetic energy given off by these signal-bouncing beacons, they are increasing in number as demand increases, and they are truly hard assets. This makes it indeed possible to lease them -- even if you're a denizen of the private sector.

As there numbers grow, and they will, some genius is going to put together a geographically-diversified, mixed carrier portfolio of these behemoths, and sell interests, either to institutions, or to individuals, but with the portfolio under duly-licensed and expert management.

Douglas E. Castle for The Global Futurist Blog, The InfoSphere Business Alerts And Intelligence Blog, The Business And Project Planning And Management Blog, The Going Totally Rogue Blog and -- the newest member of the fleet (so please visit), The CrowdFunding Incubator Blog.
 

New Retweet And Comment Button - You can Retweet this article and add your own editorial comments. Try it! - by Douglas E. Castle and RD Watkins

Do it again. C'mon...




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Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Bigger Is Not Always Better - Why Bigger Organizations Are Increasingly Risk-Averse And May Be Losing Ground.

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The lines are drawn, and will be etched more deeply in the sand between the larger, well-established and cash flow positive (even if this cash flow comes from subsidies or debt) conglomerated industrial and financial juggernauts and the entrepreneurial and emerging enterprises in terms of 1) aversion to risk or change, and 2) early adopters of technological and ideological "mini-paradigm" shifts. In a futurescape of continued disruption, business failures and government impotence, smaller and smarter are the winning attributes

During the next 18 to 30 months, the divide between the corporate establishment and the innovative and aggressive entrepreneurial constituents of the supply side [ both in the services sector and in the manufacturing and production sectors] of the world's national economies will widen. With the advent of crowdfunding and other alternative capitalization mechanisms, and with a public wanting to see a disruptive change in the way the wasteful and abusive (perceptually) entrenched oligopolies and monopolies, the larger, publicly-traded institutions run by avaricious boards of directors accustomed to a wealth-padded lifestyle, most all significant advances will be made by the smaller, less risk averse firms.

Big firms with ticker symbols are due to flounder quite a bit, regardless of market share and preferential governmental treatment due to several key factors 

This is a function of a number of factors, not the least of which is a basic business law (as yet to be endorsed by the risk management and trend-watching pundits and the companies which employ them -

1) Castle's Second Law Of Practical Risk Management: Entrepreneurs, Strategic Planners and Project Managers, as well as their affiliated experts and teams should note that in many cases, the same given risk factors weigh much more heavily (either in fact or perceptually) against the benefit factors in a larger, more 'multi-cellular' organization than in its smaller, less-evolved counterpart.

2) Inertia and subsidies foster perpetuation of existing policies and even encourage them.  Governmental agencies, central banks and barriers to the cost of entry by potential competition have encouraged their boards to continue what they have been doing. The U.S. government, for example, have kept some major enterprises alive in a money-printing, taxpayer-squeezing "Jurassic Park." These dinosaur companies still roam the earth because they have not been hit by a meteor shower of disruption and an interruption in their allowances;

3) Smaller enterprises can pivot while their larger, older counterparts are more like closed-minded, over-confident Goliaths. These companies would be felled by a single round from a slingshot fired by a crowdfunded or incubated "David." Muscularity and size do not necessarily triumph over speed and agility. Smaller firms are more receptive to new ideas, keeping them agile.

4) Traditional funding sources are drying up for these big behemoths as the tax base in industrialized nations begins to disintegrate due to a combination of unemployment and brain drain, while non-bank alternatives, international co-ventures, and public capital (in small increments and donations) are helping the smaller, harder-working enterprises to bring their products and services to market;

5) Many of these larger firms will either wage war against each other, or be bought out as bargains by Asian entrepreneurs and investment groups while the emerging enterprises are beginning to take flight. And more and more launches of smaller companies will take flight with the help of incremental, non-institutional investments by the general public through non-trade-able financings.  Smaller private companies can take actions without the fear that a small failure, or some non-profitable time consumed in an exercise of trial and error will hurt their stock value. They are more interested in revenue growth and profit margins than in what the financial analysts and rating services have to say.

The populaces of the respective industrialized nations want to see more jobs, and they are starting to become increasingly excited about slaying the Goliaths and in financing David's techno slingshot or magic bullet.

As capital access to the entrepreneurial and emerging enterprise sector becomes increasingly liberalized, the only way that the juggernauts of the sad past will be able to get ahead will be through the rapid acquisition of these smaller companies and the separation of these industrious engines of employment from the corporate culture of the dinosaurs -- particularly the ones who are in a waiting pattern, or are standing in a plush version of a government assistance breadline with velvet ropes to keep these creatures from pushing each other out of the line.

The only interesting stock plays remaining for listed firms are the ones about to receive government aid, pricey consulting or military contracts, or the ones which are widely traded publicly but have seen the wisdom of an acquisition binge. It held Bill Gates' organization together for quite some time, now, didn't it?

Douglas E. Castle for The Global Futurist Blog and for The Internationalist Page Blog





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Monday, July 2, 2012

The Decline Of Printed News

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There is a predictable and growing decline in the demand for and sales of printed newspapers. Expect this trend to continue and steepen as it specifically applies to printed news, but not necessary to be as severe or as rapid by any means when it comes to printed glossy magazines and printed books.

While this may be environmentally and ecologically desirable (i.e., we can stop destroying forests, and wasting all of that ink -- plus, we can eliminate a tonnage of litter), that is not the force driving the trend. This trend is being driven by the abundance, amongst consumers, of reading devices (Nook, Kindle, and the like), the preponderance of email hosting media daily news offerings (Yahoo! News, AOL News, Google News, etc.) as well as by the printed daily newspapers' failure to compete, in terms of news reporting timeliness or speed and reliability of consumer delivery. Readers can get the freshest news by simply going to

The article extract which follows was furnished by the API (Associated Press International) SmartBrief email newsletter. After you've glanced through it, please return to this page and I'll tell you a bit more about what the implications of this phenomenon are:

Newspaper data are expected to reveal decline, digital dimension
Audit Bureau of Circulations data are expected to show a drop of about 5% in daily newspaper subscriptions and a 1% decline in Sunday subscriptions between September and March compared with the same period the year before. Complicating the report, however, will be information for paid digital and other options that reflects different ways of counting and varied sales strategies among papers, Poynter Institute researcher Rick Edmonds writes. Poynter.org/Biz Blog

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It is important to separate printed news from printed glossy magazines -- particularly those which cater to technical hobbyists, the very wealthy and the "art lovers" of all stripes. These media are still able to capture a significant share of ad revenue (most recently skewed toward branding and promotion than for direct display advertising while at the same time having "coffee table appeal." Whether they are being accumulated by collectors, hobbyists, lovers of art, nouveau riche want-to-be's, or persons who simply prefer a nice, thick magazine instead of a table placemat or beverage coaster, these creatures have a much longer useful life (less news reporting than 'news rag dailies' -- but much more commentary, editorial and opinion, and a preponderance of  spiritual, religious and politically-themed or travelogue  pieces).

The critical negative determinant for print newspapers (excluding magazines, as discussed briefly above) is that they simply cannot be printed and distributed as quickly or as conveniently (i.e., in user-friendly interactive formatting) as their digital counterparts. And news which is stale is at worst, garbage, and at best, history.

Ecology and other "green factors" will keep working against printed newspapers as will their ungainly shape and lack of ease of portability.

My bet is with electronic (virtual) media. My bet is against daily newspapers. My bet is that lower scale "tabloid-oriented magazines will begin to evaporate as more and more of the shopping population (their cash register impulse readership) becomes computer literate, and as trips to supermarkets are reduced due to increasing e-commerce convenience and fuel conservation. Conversely, the higher-end magazines will be with us for years to come, in a specially carved and rarefied niche by themselves.

Douglas E. Castle for The Global Futurist Blog,
The Mad Marketing Tactics Blog, The Sending Signals Blog and The InfoSphere Business Alerts And Intelligence Blog.

Please follow us on Twitter at @GlobalFuturist1, or choose from a whole porfolio of various themed twitter feeds on some fascinating subjects by visiting The Twitterlinks Hubspot Blog.
Thank you, as always!   



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Thursday, February 16, 2012

Identity Randomization - Surveillance Camouflague/ Obfuscation

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Left-Click On The Pic For Full- Size Version



It is apparent that our actions (including our searches and surfing on the internet, our frequent GPS-trackable trips, our supermarket purchasing patterns, our medical treatments and prescription pick-ups, or credit purchases, our loan and utilities consumption and payments and countless other "data points", which if properly connected over a period of time could provide a powerful personal, emotional, physical and psychographic profile of every single one of us) while doing the ordinary dance of of our lives on the proverbial grid are being carefully surveilled and accumulated -- ostensibly for providing us with a "more personalized customer experience," or for making it easier to categorize us into the most likely purchasers of goods or services, or for [frighteningly] manipulating us through the manipulation of our environment at the most intimate levels.

Yes -- this is surveillance, a systematic intrusion of privacy, the accumulation of a "dossier" on each of us for use by anyone willing to pay for it. So long as we interface and engage with electronic commerce, we can count on being placed on lists, categorized, 'selected' for various 'responsibilities,' photographed, metered and observed. We have no privacy while we live in this civilization.

Various computer hacking attacks, bulk thefts of data, internet and social media harassment and worse are on the rise and cannot be abated as technology is further interwoven into the very fabric of the grid.

We either need camouflage, or tools for randomizing the data collected about us to render it unclear, if not totally useless. I call this defense strategy "Randomization," and it entails obscuring real patterns by a constant intrusion of "wild card" variables which conflict with what we are actually doing or wher we are really going; what we like and what we do not like; what are weaknesses are and what our strengths are.

I view this deliberate smokescreen as a necessary pre-emptive defense. A way to befoul (and render unreliable) dangerous statistical and probablistic patterns, confound data miners, paralyze blackmailers (or whatever Politically Correct euphemisms they may choose to call themselves by) and give us simple civilians living on the grid and engaging in peaceful, harmless activities a chance to be free of intrusion and harrassment.

Randomization produces obscurity.

Obscurity produces camouflage.

And camouflage is the next best thing to privacy.

Given more and more abuses of our privacy and privilege, and more intrusions interfering with our right to true life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness you could be looking at technologies developed to provide us with identity randomization.

And yes, I believe that identity randomization is going to be very much in demand -- just as I believe some very technologically sophisticated, intelligence-trained, evasive maneuver tacticians are going to get together with some very intelligent defectors from the other side, and develop these technologies for consumers and businesses to use as a veil of protection. Privacy and anonymity in certain circumstances (most of them quite simple and legal) are becoming increasingly valuable, and some futuristic entrepreneurs will develop the tools to enable us ordinary pedestrians to hide in plain sight. I sense a new era and some interesting investment opportunities in a growth industry, as well.

Maybe we can stay one step of The Adjustment Bureau. This could be wonderful for a restoration of purloined freedoms, and a boon to clever entrepreneurial leaders who believe that our individuality is sacred, and that a desire for privacy doesn't mean we have something to hide  -- but simply that we don't need voyeurs peeking in through our glass walled dwellings.

Douglas E. Castle for The Global Futurist Blog.

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p.s. Please visit Twitterlinks Hubspot.

Once there, you will find in excess of 35 different and fascinating Twitter accounts about a wide variety of topics. Choose as many as you'd like and follow them. If they don't prove interesting, informative, and occasionally funny, you can unfollow any of them. But I have a feeling you'll stay with us. -DC



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Wednesday, December 28, 2011

5 Giant Industry And Techno-Trends: The Global Futurist

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Drawing from a variety of sources during the course of these past four weeks, I've distilled the information I've gathered regarding major trends (industries and technologies) down to my favorite five, each of which which I believe is going to be booming during the next five years, and each of which warrants careful observation, as well as some business and investment planning. But, of course, I do not offer any investment, financial, legal, health or tax advice.

One thing that all of these giant industry and technological trends have in common is that they are each already significantly underway. They are all gaining momentum. Quickly.
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1. Nanotechnology, Nanotubes And Cardiovascular Pipecleaning.

Big Think Daily Ideafeed 15 October 2011
BIOTECH REVOLUTION
Microscopic Robots in Your Bloodstream
Engineers have used carbon nanotubes to create artificial muscle that moves like an elephant's trunk, which could be used to propel microscopic nanobots through the bloodstream.
READ NOW



2. Stem Cells, Computers and LIFE.

Researchers grow partial pituitary gland using stem cells

Japanese researchers used embryonic stem cells to grow partial pituitary glands, then transplanted the tissue in the kidneys of mice without pituitary glands. The transplanted tissue returned hormone levels to normal, according to the study published in Nature. The initiative is part of a worldwide effort to grow complete organs in a lab setting using stem cells. The Guardian (London) (12/4)...

And there's much more:

Bone_ss

What's the Latest Development? [From BigThink's Idea Newsletter] - Computer Printer-Assisted Bone Regrowth.


3D printers have been used to create bone-like material which researchers say could aid in repairing injuries. The new material would act like scaffolding, promoting the growth of new cells and then dissolve away with no ill-effects. Professor Susmita Bose, who helped carry out the work at Washington State University, has been at work on the material for four years. A breakthrough came recently when she found a way to double the strength of the main ceramic powder—calcium phosphate—by adding silica and zinc oxide.

What's the Big Idea?

Within just a few years, doctors could use the printing technique to custom-order replacement of bone tissue. "Tests carried on immature foetal bone cells in the laboratory found that new bone cells started growing over the scaffold within the first week of it being attached." Dr. Bose predicts that within a decade or two, doctors will be able use artificial bone from 3D printers as scaffolds, along with bone growth factors, to repair anything from a broken jaw to a broken spine.

Photo credit: shutterstock.com



3. Video Surveillance, Mobile Tracking and RFID
  • Malls use cellphone location data to track shoppers
    Malls in California and Virginia have begun using cellphone signals to track the locations of shoppers. The malls use the tools to triangulate shoppers' locations based on their cellphone signals as part of a trial that runs through the end of the year. Forest City, which owns the malls, says it is not collecting any data that could identify a shopper, though experts say the data could be paired with other sources of information to target offers. Some experts, however, have raised questions about the legality of such tracking. Ars Technica (11/26)


4. An Increase In The Number Of Prisons, Prisoners, Privatization Of Facilities, And Incarceration-Related Employment - Prisons Are One Of The Largest Domestic Growth Industries In The USA.

Prison Nation


December 21, 2011 by


Prison Nation
PHOTOS.COM
There are more than 2.3 million people in American prisons.
America has come to be more like North Korea than the America our fathers grew up in. The United States is not a country descending into totalitarianism. Totalitarianism, the police state, is here.

According to a recent study in the journal Pediatrics and reported in USAToday, one in three Americans will be arrested by the time they are 23. That’s up from 22 percent of youths that age 44 years ago.

Crimes leading to arrest in this age group range from truancy and vandalism to shoplifting and underage drinking to assault and murder. Criminologist Megan Kurlychek told the newspaper that localities handled many minor offenses more informally 40 years ago than they do now.

“Society is a lot less tolerant of these teenage behaviors,” she said.

In fact, it’s not just teenage behaviors society is not tolerating. Now elementary school children are charged with sexual assault over innocent hugs and kisses and assault when they get into fights on school grounds.

And with drug laws criminalizing possession of as little marijuana as a seed or stem, it’s easy to understand why there are more than 2.3 million people in American prisons.

According to a 2008 study by the Pew Center on the States, one in 100 Americans is behind bars. For blacks, the statistics are staggering. One in 15 black men aged 18 or older is behind bars. For blacks ages 20 to 34, the number is one in nine. Black women are three times more likely to be incarcerated than white women.

America’s rate of incarceration far outpaces countries like South Africa and Iran. For every 100,000 Americans, 750 are in jail. In Germany the rate is only 93 per 100,000.

In America, people can be fined and/or imprisoned for simply taking raw milk across State lines, selling “unapproved” rabbits, or uprooting a plant or draining a pond on their own property.

Now, Congress has passed and the President has signed legislation that designates America a battlefield in the War on Terror and subjects Americans to indefinite incarceration without a hearing.

Face it: America is now a prison Nation. And with America’s penchant for militarism and her people’s fondness of orators, Herr Hitler would feel right at home. ####
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The profits and possibilities for companies in the building and management of prisons are promising. They'll be job opportunities for returning soldiers, retired law enforcement, and some local, but otherwise unskilled labor. And demand will continue to expand as the "Nation Of Regulation, Litigation And Incarceration" -- that's the United States...Land of the free/ Home of the brave -- continues to try to fuel a failing economy and an ever-increasing draconian system of punishment by A) locking up non-violent offenders and destroying families [leading to more crime] and B) giving non-productive jail-based jobs to anybody who is still outside of the prison (and is not an escapee) after the evening's lockdown.



5. Electroshock, Direct Computer-Brain Interaction And Virtual Reality To Enhance Learning Ability, Accompanied By A Renewed Interest In Subliminal Entrainment.

The following article excerpt appears courtesy of a slightly-dated but highly-relevant edition of BigThinks's Daily IdeaFeed. The article was every bit as stimulating (pun intended) as the slightly-Frakensteinian notion of using a highly-refined variant of electroconvulsive therapy (ECT), a controversial treatment for schizophrenia, catatonia, and some forms of severe clinical depression in order to stimulate and accelerate learning (the assimilation of knowledge) as well as recall (the ability to rapidly access the assimilated knowledge), and intelligence (the ability to use assimilated knowledge to identify and solve problems -- putting it simply):
BIOTECH REVOLUTION
Mild Electric Shocks Speed Learning
Running a mild electric current through the brain improves learning speed, according to Air Force researchers. The technique was used to teach personnel how to identify drone targets.
READ NOW
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Don't throw away those binaural and subliminal CDs. Keep Your Headphones. Entrainment [the creation of thoughts and emotions by inducing brain wave patterns through external means] will indeed be making a comeback, with improved targeting and precise technology. It is interesting to note that the brain tends to "pick up the rhythm' to certain patterned beats and sounds through an amazing process of mimicry. Whether this is done with headphones or electrodes, the possibilities are exciting, if not just a bit frightening. The ultimate result would be similar to Neo's crash course in, and rapid mastery of various styles of martial arts by immersion in a computer-simulated and controlled environment. Virtual reality is going to be an increasing preoccupation. Whether for education or recreation, the temptation of alternative realms is far too exciting to stay put.


Douglas E. Castle for THE GLOBAL FUTURIST





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