Friday, June 11, 2010

The Great Divide Widens - The Deadly Three

Share this ARTICLE with your colleagues on LinkedIn .



The Great Divide Widens - The Deadly Three.

Dear Friends:

There have always been several unspoken but intuitively understood dividers between the "rich" and the "poor"...

1) The actual average wealth per capita amongst the rich versus the actual average wealth per capita of the poor;

2) The median difference (disparity) in actual average wealth per capita amongst the rich versus the actual average wealth per capita of the poor;

3) The number of poor individuals in a society versus the number of rich individuals in a society. 

In the wake of every financial catastrophe in history, each of the above three measures has increased. In simple terms, the rich become a smaller percentage of the population but with a tremendous increase in their collective and individual wealth, while the poor become a larger percentage of the population, but with a tremendous decrease in their collective and individual wealth.

Also, most of the "middle class" (the bedrock, social buffer and glue of most any civilization) join the ranks of the poor -- very, very few remain "middle class," while only the tiniest fraction join the elitist ranks of the rich.

NOTE: As the middle class fades away, so do longer-term economic prosperity and near-term social civility. The seeds of revolution and violent upheaval are sown with the elimination of the middle class.

I've done my duty. Now you've all been warned. Have a nice day.

Faithfully,

Douglas

Douglas Castle
Join my TNNWC Group, LLC collaborative business community (GICBC) at no cost by clicking on http://bit.ly/JoinTNNWC.

Markets and People are all Irrational from Day-to-Day - Version .002

Share this ARTICLE with your colleagues on LinkedIn .



Markets and People are all Irrational from Day-to-Day.

Version .002 re-print, dated 06.11.2010

Dear Friends:

The fact is that financial markets and people are irrational from day-to-day.

A rumor (mere words without supporting facts) can cause the Dow Jones Industrial Average or the NASDAQ to rise or fall. An official pronouncement from a government agency or even the CEO of a major corporation can generate incredible swings in the capital markets.

When the markets rally for a day or several days, these "recovery-like" responses are either:  1) knee-jerk reactions to any sign of optimism which affirms or feeds confidence that "the troubles are behind us, so let's get back in!", 2) some-savvy bargain hunters or strategic purchasers buying cheap stocks and bidding the volume and prices up as they do this, 3) short-term trading activity by big-time institutional gamblers.

When the markets and indexes start to fall after a brief rise, this is ususally caused by either: 1) frightened investors selling out at a loss and investing their cash in other investment alternatives, or 2) profit-taking by a select few futurists who see an opportunity to sell their shares and get out while they can, sometimes to minimize long-term losses, and sometimes to lock in short-term gains based upon temporary rises caused by unfounded optimism.

Some bad news by noted economic analysts, financial commentators or disappointed "pundits," can cause a calamitous sell-off and decline in these same market indexes. The markets and indexes are incredibly hyper-reactive to any bit of news. And like a children's circle game of "telephone," little rumors rapidly turn into certain knowledge.

I would personally like to wait for the roulette wheel to stop before I assess my victories or losses. I am more apt to act on a pattern of corporate performance results than on rumors and brief waves in the capital markets. Waves and rollercoasters tend to make me seasick and disoriented.

Volatility is never healthy in capital markets except for those who make their money specifically based upon fluctuations, and those who make their fees based upon transactional volume.

The proof of any genuine recovery in the capital markets would have to be evidenced by 1) a sustained and mounting rise in inflation-adjusted stock prices supported by 2) a parallel and consistent increase in inflation-adjusted earnings per share in the traded companies as well as 3) an increase in the fair market value of each constituent company's assets minus its actual and contingent liabilities...this is actually a decrease in leverage, and stable or rising revenues from ordinary operations. These same conditions also happen to coincide with the fundamentals of any sound company, as well.

I do not expect that kind of recovery in the capital markets either in the US or elsewhere in the world for another year or two.

Any market or index rally supported by a news story, a legal settlement or other isolated event in a single company, commodity or sector is just the fish of the day -- usually a red herring. These are not productivity-based or value-based. They are short term, reactive fluctuations.

An example follows, excerpted from a preview of a New York Times article: 

Breaking News Alert
The New York Times
Thu, June 10, 2010 -- 4:08 PM ET
-----
Stocks Rebound on Positive Economic News; S and P. 500 Climbs Nearly 3%

Indexes on Wall Street rebounded on Thursday, closing up
almost 3 percent, on a day fueled by bargain hunting and some
positive economic news.

Asian and European shares were also higher, and the euro
regained some ground.

Trading picked up in the last hour, pushing up the Dow Jones
industrial average 273.50 points, or 2.76 percent. The
broader Standard and Poor's 500-stock index rose 2.95 percent,
while the technology-heavy Nasdaq was up 2.77 percent.

Read More:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/11/business/11markets.html?emc=na
####

You may ask me, "Douglas....isn't this good news?" I would have to answer, "No. Not at all. This is just proof of people's irrational day to day behavior. It might even reaffirm people's traditional susceptibility to silly stories or even a form of "whistling past the graveyard."

I remain throughly unconvinced until I see the underlying economic fundamentals change in the capital markets.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle

 

Thursday, June 10, 2010

Markets and People are all Irrational from Day-to-Day

Share this ARTICLE with your colleagues on LinkedIn .



Markets and People are all Irrational from day-to-day.

Dear Friends:

The fact is that financial markets and people are irrational from day-to-day. A rumor can cause the Dow Jones Industrial Average to rise or fall. An official pronouncement from a government agency or even the CEO of a major corporation can generate incredible swings in the capital markets. These responses are either 1) knee-jerk responses to any sign of optimism (to support wishful thinking) which affirms confidence, 2) some-savvy bargain hunters either buying cheap stocks and bidding the volume and prices up, 4) short-term trading activity by institutional gamblers, or 5) profit-taking by a select few futurists who see an opportunity to sell their shares and get out while they can.

Some bad news by noted economic analysts, financial commentators or disappointed "pundits," can cause a calamitous sell-off and decline in these same market indexes.

I would personally like to wait for the roulette wheel to stop before I assess my victories or losses. I am more apt to act on results than on rumors.

Volatility is never healthy in capital markets except for those who make their money based upon fluctuations, and those who make their fees based upon transactional volume.
The proof of any genuine recovery in the capital markets would have to be evidenced by 1) a sustained and mounting rise in inflation-adjusted stock prices supported by 2) a parallel and consistent increase in inflation-adjusted earnings per share in the traded companies as well as an increase in the fair market value of each constituent company's assets minus its actual and contingent liabilities...this is actually a decrease in leverage. The conditions also happen to coincide with the fundamentals of any sound company, as well.

I do not expect that kind of recovery in the capital markets either in the US or elsewhere in the world for another year or two.
Any market or index rally supported by a news story, a legal settlement or other isolated event in a single company, commodity or sector is just the fish of the day -- usually a red herring.

An example follows, excerpted from a preview of a New York Times article: 

Breaking News Alert
The New York Times
Thu, June 10, 2010 -- 4:08 PM ET
-----
Stocks Rebound on Positive Economic News; S.&P. 500 Climbs Nearly 3%
Indexes on Wall Street rebounded on Thursday, closing up
almost 3 percent, on a day fueled by bargain hunting and some
positive economic news.

Asian and European shares were also higher, and the euro
regained some ground.

Trading picked up in the last hour, pushing up the Dow Jones
industrial average 273.50 points, or 2.76 percent. The
broader Standard & Poor's 500-stock index rose 2.95 percent,
while the technology-heavy Nasdaq was up 2.77 percent.

Read More:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/11/business/11markets.html?emc=na
####

You may ask me, "Douglas....isn't this good news?" I would have to answer, "No. Not at all. This is just proof of people's irrational day to day behavior. It might even reaffirm people's susceptibility to silly stories or even a form of "whistling past the graveyard."

I remain throughly unconvinced.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle
Douglas Castle
Join my TNNWC Group, LLC collaborative business community (GICBC) at no cost by clicking on http://bit.ly/JoinTNNWC.

Monday, June 7, 2010

Alternatives to Big, "Black Hole" Banks

Share this ARTICLE with your colleagues on LinkedIn .



Alternatives to Big, "Black Hole" Banks.

Dear Fellow Futurists, Internationalists, Collaborators, and Friends:

They are giant institutions with vast powers -- apparently too big to regulate, yet too big to fail. They are like drug cartels, but their planting fields and their clientele are the entire populations of industrialized economies addicted to consumer credit which supports demand and artificially increased prices (the underlying behavioral theory is that if a bank offers me a line of credit, I'll be less sensitive to pricing because I'm using someone else's money to make my purchases...and I'll purchase well beyond my present means because I can pay over a long period of time).

Somewhere along the way, the question stopped being "what does it cost?" and started to become "what's my monthly payment?" A leverage-based economy is one where an ever-increasing percentage of current and future personal income must be allocated toward paying past debts; where we no longer "own" but we rent, lease or merely have the "use" of things, the most important of which are pledged to the lending institutions (I refer to banks, consumer credit providers and investment banking firms all categorically as "banks" because of the absence of any true defining differences among them); where most of our money goes toward interest payments and where the paydown of principal (the actual cost of the financed object) is only a small percentage of the total payments that we'll make during the life of any given loan; where credit privileges are prestigious and savings become irrelevant; where people are not as interested in earning as in merely getting and having...and the list goes on.

These funny-money goliaths have been fraud-ridden for many years, using our limited savings and demand deposit accounts to engage in speculative trading and irresponsible lending and charging us growing fees for accessing our own money. In brief, they make their fortunes helping us to "buy" things which we never get to own (the banks have a superior claim of right to ours), and they charge us interest, fees, penalties and other principal-eroders which push us deeper and deeper into debt. And when they gamble away all of this income, and complain of losses (some clever accounting at work), the governments which gave them their license to plunder and gamble use our money to bail them out. If I borrow $50,000.00 from the neighborhood loan shark and lose it in a casino in Las Vegas or Bangkok, does any government bail me out? Nope. They call me "irresponsible." Later, they pronounce me dead.

People are looking for alternatives to continually being mauled by these rapacious, untamed beasts in order to feel a bit safer, and a bit more secure. They would also like to stop pressing numbers on the telephone in order to get non-answers and atrocious, impersonal service.

Here's a gem from today's New York Times:

Breaking News Alert
The New York Times
Mon, June 07, 2010 -- 11:58 AM ET
-----

Bank of America to Pay $108 Million in Mortgage Abuse Case

Bank of America has agreed to pay $108 million to settle
charges by the Federal Trade Commission that the bank's
Countrywide Financial mortgage subsidiary collected excessive
fees from struggling homeowners and engaged in other abusive
practices in the years before the bank acquired Countrywide
in July 2008. In announcing the settlement on Monday, the
commission said the payment would be used to reimburse
homeowners.
####
-----
One alternative which is gaining popularity worldwide is "Time Banking." These "time banks" are small groups of people (communities, without any special licenses) who allow members to borrow money in exchange for services rendered over time instead of in cash. This is a bit easier than the barter system because services are exchanged for money and not for other services. It also has the advantage that when you use your time and efforts to repay, you are repaying with services actually rendered at your cost, but you are being credited for the retail or market value of your services. In the simplest sense, you are actually paying back at a discount, instead of with interest. This approach fosters productivity, responsibility, and a healthier economy. You might want to read an AP article about this interesting twist on banking, which has actually been around for many, many years but is experiencing a resurgence because of its many benefits over traditional banking. Click on http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100603/ap_on_re_us/us_banking_time.

The other more traditional alternative is the credit union. While credit unions don't have all of the power of commercial banks, they have become increasingly resourceful in the services which they do provide; to make things look even better, many credit unions are broadening and liberalizing their parameters for membership. They are member-owned, far more personable in every aspect than the goliaths, and they do not get involved in the speculative behavior or rogue trading activity that has caused such cataclysmic instability in the giant banks. Historically, their interest pricing has been significantly lower than that of their "banking" peers. It is also easier to charter a credit union than a commercial bank or brokerage firm, and the depositors, borrowers and owners are all the same group of people without any inherent conflict of interest or objectives. You can read a bit more about credit unions and the ways in which they differ from commercial banks by clicking on the hyperlink which follows: http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Banking/BetterBanking/DitchYourBankForACreditUnion.aspx.

Facing facts, large banks are quasi-governmental entities. They may be privately-held, but they are used by their respective goverments to implement monetary policy, to enforce collections, to report all sorts of "suspicious" consumer activity. These goliaths and the wastrels are, in essence, attached at the hip.

Time Banks and credit unions have the advantage of serving the needs of their members first, without ethical or financial conflict and with a modicum of common sense. It's that "by the people, of the people and for the people" kind of thing. I believe that it still can work.
I would expect to see a rise in the number and volume of transactional activity of Time Banks and credit unions, and their international equivalents in the coming years.

It's probably impolite to even think about this, let alone say it aloud, but can you imagine if the money (i.e., the deposits and all of the loan business) started leaving the Black Holes and was instead lodged with credit unions, or utilized to facilitate exchanges in Time Banking? Do you think that any of these alternative lenders would make a loan to Citigroup or Bank Of America? Nope. You see, in the case of all of these alternative lenders it's not scrip or play money...it's members' money -- and that makes all of the difference.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle
Douglas Castle
Join my TNNWC Group, LLC collaborative business community (GICBC) at no cost by clicking on http://bit.ly/JoinTNNWC.

Thursday, June 3, 2010

An Update From The DaVinci Institute's FUTURE TREND REPORT - 06.03.2010

Share this ARTICLE with your colleagues on LinkedIn .



An Update From The DaVinci Institute's FUTURE TREND REPORT - 06.03.2010

Dear Fellow Futurists and Friends:

I often use the Future Trend Report as one of my many source materials in arriving at my own conclusions regarding trends and their future implications. The following material is excerpted, and is presented without my editorial commentary or endorsement, but I will say that, in large part, the questions which the Report raises, as well as some of the nearer-term outcomes which they predict are highly positively correlated with my views as set forth in my blog, The Global Futurist :


Americans Run Into Trouble Using Credit Cards Abroad
Americans are increasingly facing difficulty using their credit cards abroad.Chief culprit? Different technology standards. U.S.-issued cards still have magnetic strips. More cards abroad are issued with encrypted microprocessor chips, and shops and businesses have adjusted the payment process to the varying standard, says Jack Jania of Gemalto, which develops chip cards.
Continue reading

Outlook on Jobs for Teens Worsens
This year is shaping up to be even worse than last for the millions of high school and college students looking for summer jobs. State and local governments, traditionally among the biggest seasonal employers, are knee-deep in budget woes, and the stimulus money that helped cushion some government job programs last summer is running out. Private employers are also reluctant to hire until the economy shows more solid signs of recovery.
Continue reading

Growing Acceptance Among Teens To Out of Wedlock Pregnancy
Among teens in the USA, the percentage who have had sexual intercourse or say they'd be pleased if they or their partner were to get pregnant hasn't changed much since early in the decade, and there appears to be a growing acceptance of having babies outside marriage, a government report said Wednesday.From 1995 to 2002, "it was pretty much across-the-board improvements in those risk factors," says lead author Joyce Abma, a statistician at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics. "It is a source of concern to see that forward movement kind of stalling."
Continue reading

Breast Cancer Vaccine Trials to Start on Women Within One Year
American scientists say they have developed a vaccine which has prevented breast cancer from developing in mice. The researchers - whose findings are published in the journal, Nature Medicine - are now planning to conduct trials of the drug in humans.
Continue reading

'Free Rent' Approach on the Rise as Some Homeowners Stop Paying Mortgages
For Alex Pemberton and Susan Reboyras, foreclosure is becoming a way of life - something they did not want but are in no hurry to get out of. Foreclosure has allowed them to stabilize the family business. Go to Outback occasionally for a steak. Take their gas- guzzling airboat out for the weekend. Visit the Hard Rock Casino.
Continue reading

Study: Women Who Take Antidepressants During Pregnancy at an Increased Risk of Miscarriage
Pregnancy is often fraught with complications, not least for women suffering from depression while carrying a child: new research suggests that women who take antidepressant medications during pregnancy may have an increased risk of miscarriage.
Continue reading

40% of Consumers Would Swap Their Laptops for an iPad
Kelkoo, the shopping comparison website, asked 950 people whether they were considering buying an Apple iPad. Almost a third said they would be interested in buying one, while 40 per cent said they would be prepared to swap their traditional laptop for a touch-screen, tablet computer like the iPad.
Continue reading

46% of Americans Suffer From Debt-Related Stress According to Survey
The economy trudges ahead yet debt dogs many Americans, stressing them out even as they firm up their own financial foundations. There are new jobs produced but old worries persisting for people despite belt-tightening and boosted savings, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll.
Continue reading

eBook Sales Will Overtake Print Books Within Five Years
Steve Haber, president of Sony's digital reading business division, said: "Within five years there will be more digital content sold than physical content. Three years ago, I said within ten years but I realised that was wrong - it's within five."
Continue reading

Student Loan Debt Crisis: Who's to Blame as Students Get Buried in Debt?
Like many middle-class families, Cortney Munna and her mother began the college selection process with a grim determination. They would do whatever they could to get Cortney into the best possible college, and they maintained a blind faith that the investment would be worth it.
Continue reading

####

Faithfully,


Douglas Castle
About Douglas Castle
Douglas Castle - LinkedIn Profile 
The National Networker Companies
Braintenance - Stay razor sharp.
The Internationalist Page - A world without barriers.
The Global Futurist - Revealing trends.
Taking Command! - Mastering your fate.
LINKS 4 LIFE - Crisis resources.
Follow Castle on Twitter 
Follow TNNWC on Twitter
Join Us: Become a Member of the TNNWC Global Interworked Cooperative Business Community (GICBC) at no cost. Click on http://bit.ly/TNNWC


Sunday, May 30, 2010

Sorting Through "Extreme News" From Left, Right and Center - A Crucial Skill-Builder At Trend-Spotting and for Strategic Planning.

Share this ARTICLE with your colleagues on LinkedIn .






Sorting Through "Extreme News" From Left, Right and Center - A Crucial Skill-Builder At Trend-Spotting and for Strategic Planning.

Author's Note: Every entrepreneur, and every single emerging enterprise requires management, market reasearch, marketing, publicity, branding and a constant re-evaluation of potential future trends. If you are so biased that you deliberately exclude (adversely select against) "radical" or "extremist" publications which don't conform to your pre-existing views, you will merely be recycling your own brand of stupidity -- some call this "the kindling of circular intelligence."

The key is to be open to information which comes from any and all sources...to detach yourself emotionally from the political or other agendas of their writers, publishers and promoters. Every leader, manager, marketing director, financial officer, planning officer, product or service developer must be as an objective Information Hound, to the greatest extent possible. If your limit your total news intake, you limit your knowledge base, thinking, insight, intellectual growth, analytic ability and efficacy, and ability to survive and thrive. I can read the SPECTATOR, MOTHER JONES, THE CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR, BUZZFLASH BULLETIN and THE ROLLING STONE in one sitting. I can listen to NPR as well as a series of Sunday morning sermons, deluxe with sulphur and brimstone.

When it comes to the necessary job of futurism, more information is always better. Learn to expose your yourself to more input, while trusting that your character and judgment will not be hurt in the process. In fact, this testing will get you more in tune with who you truly are -- and that is a wonderful thing. -DC

Dear Readers:

Some interesting headlines and brief articles from some of the more "extreme" news sources (actually, in many cases these are more appropriately called conjecture sources) may prove to be a fountain of some useful information. Understand that in every article, there is a grain of truth (an initiating spark, fear, or observation which inspired the writer) and a large element of propaganda. The trick is to separate the elements of truth from the surrounding rhetoric. One of the means of doing this is by rudimentary correlative analysis....for example, if two politically opposed groups speak of the same subject and make similar observations about its implications, you might have unearthed a piece of truth.

If two adversaries agree on a common problem or a common trend -- it is invariably one worth watching. Finding these areas of informational intersection is one of a true intelligence analyst or Global Futurist's most important skills. I'll admit that sometimes it is a bit of a stomach-turner to read through the accusations, recriminations, bigotry and hate-speak. But the gold which you will pan from this stream of compost is still gold.

This is a great skill, and a great exercise. Use this analysis tool often, and your abilities to see through the smoke to the spark will increase appreciably.

More Info + More sources + Rudimentary Correlative Analysis = Better planning for your life and your business.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle,
Vice Chairman,
THE NATIONAL NETWORKER COMPANIES
*Subscribe (free!) for The National Networker Newsletter and the BLUE TUESDAY REPORT, and join The TNNWC GICBC at Join Us!

Forward/Share This Article With Colleagues And Social Media:
Share/Save/Bookmark

COMMENT/RATE/SHARE THIS ARTICLE;CONTACT THE AUTHOR, & MORE...

The National Networker Companies

Saturday, May 29, 2010

The Irony Of The Latest Decline In U.S. Interest Rates

Share this ARTICLE with your colleagues on LinkedIn .





THE IRONY OF THE LATEST DECLINE IN U.S. INTEREST RATES


Article written By Douglas Castle (http://aboutDouglasCastle.blogspot.com)
Originally published in THE GLOBAL FUTURIST (http://TheGlobalFuturist.blogspot.com)
Release Date:  05.29.2010
---------------

Dear Friends:

An article follows from the ASSOCIATED PRESS which speaks of the lowest US mortgage borrowing rates in many years. The inference is that this should be great news for homeowners looking to refinance and for home purchasers.

While this appears to be good news on the surface, it may be largely inapplicable for the large majority of applicants seeking loans from banks for these reasons:

1) The “advertised rates” are only for prospective borrowers with excellent, unblemished credit histories and the highest credit scores pursuant to the FICO (Fair-Issac) consumer credit-rating standard – the standard for credit evaluation used by most US lenders. Banks typically charge higher rates to lower-scoring applicants in order to adjust for their increased “credit risk.”

2) The same banks and affiliated credit card companies [which largely, because of their negligence, recklessness and unbridled greed created and fueled the global economic meltdown have severely damaged the credit scores of countless consumers through loan foreclosures, repossessions, increased personal bankruptcies, credit card line reductions, credit card closures, late fees, over limit fees and other lawless and opportunistic moneymaking opportunities associated with institutionalized consumer fraud perpetrated on a credit-addicted society] are the ones who are now applying increasingly stringent standards to loan applicants.

In fact, these banks are tightening up their underwriting guidelines weekly due to policy guidelines being handed down to them by their principal insurer, Fannie Mae. Be reminded that Fannie Mae was one of the biggest defaulters in the economic meltdown. But, unlike consumers, the government deemed them “too big to fail,” and started the printing presses rolling to bail them out.

Some of the biggest bailout beneficiaries are now reporting record profits – they are, in essence, using taxpayer money gifted to them by the Fed (in plainspeak, the banks and financial institutions pissed away all of the taxpayers’, savers’ and investors’ money, and now the government is making the taxpayers PAY TWICE to maintain the banking system’s entrenched entitlement to profits), and buying government securities (which increases the national debt, for which the taxpayers will have to pay YET AGAIN.


This is an incredible economic debt loop which cannot be broken without some kind of actual productivity, earnings, employment and fresh thinking. In the meantime, all of the money (either scrip or electronic book entries) is being hoarded by the financial institutions. They are being rewarded for not taking any entrepreneurial risk. They are making money by using debt (or bailout welfare money) to purchase more government debt.

Here are a few things to anticipate:

1)  Following the stabilization of the Euro, and of the European capital markets, the US dollar will again dive in value, and our sovereign credit rating will drop, institutions outside of the US will stop buying our Treasury Paper (which is, by the way, what is temporarily driving US interest rates down for the time-being), and rates will begin to creep up again. What we are experiencing now is just a brief bit of luck that the European Markets look a bit worse than those here in the US. Our Treasury Securities are the “default investment” when things get dicey in Europe;

2)  The US Treasury is going to be taking the muzzle off of the Internal Revenue Service – its hired gun, so to speak - within the next month or so, in order to start replenishing its empty war chest. Expect vigorous, aggressive and brutal IRS audits and assessments, and heightened, expedited enforcement action (seizures and sales of assets) to raise money from the easiest targets: individuals and small businesses, most of whom are easily intimidated, cannot afford to mount a defense, and will do virtually anything in order to pay whatever the IRS says that they owe. The percentage of taxpayers audited will increase, collections will increase, and the economy will be profoundly damaged.

Friends – this is nothing short of a reign of terror.

3) Because of items 1 and 2, above, expect many Boomers and recent graduates to leave US citizenship behind in favor of working in Asia, parts of Europe, and Middle East. This will produce an unprecedented brain drain in the US. Of course, businesses, opportunities, entrepreneurs and innovation will flee from the US as well. This is already happening at an alarming rate.

4) The stragglers, those left behind in the US, will be government employees, the ultra-wealthy, those who are incarcerated, or those who are part of the ever-present underground economy.

The AP article follows:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mortgage rates sink to lowest this year

By ALAN ZIBEL, AP Real Estate Writer Alan Zibel, Ap Real Estate Writer 2 hrs 42 mins ago
WASHINGTON – Mortgage rates have fallen to the lowest level of the year as investors poured money into the safe haven of U.S. government securities.
The average rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage dipped to 4.78 percent this week from 4.84 percent a week earlier, mortgage company Freddie Mac said Thursday. It was the lowest level since early December, when rates fell to a record low of 4.71 percent.
The average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell this week to 4.21 percent_ the lowest level in nearly two decades.
Concerns over the European debt crisis have sent yields for 10-year and 30-year Treasury bonds to their lowest levels of 2010. Rates on 30-year home loans often rise and fall in line with the 10-year note.
Analysts say the opportunity may not last. If Europe's woes subside and the U.S. economic recovery stays on track, rates are likely to move higher. That's because traders will move their money back into riskier investments.
"Strike now," said Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com. "If they move quickly against you, it just takes money right out of your pocket."
Homeowners appear to be taking notice. Applications to refinance surged this week to the highest level since October 2009, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday.
But mortgage applications to purchase homes fell to the lowest level since April 1997. A major reason for that drop: tax credits expired on April 30.
A campaign by the Federal Reserve to reduce borrowing costs for consumers pushed rates down to extraordinarily low levels last year. Rates were expected to rise after the program ended this spring. Instead, they have dipped. Fears that Greece's government would default on its debt shook world markets and boosted demand for U.S. Treasurys.
Freddie Mac collects mortgage rates on Monday through Wednesday of each week from lenders around the country. Rates often fluctuate significantly, even within a given day.
Rates on five-year, adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.97 percent, up from 3.91 percent a week earlier. Rates on one-year, adjustable-rate mortgages fell to 3.95 percent from 4 percent. That was the lowest average since May 2004.
The rates do not include add-on fees known as points. One point is equal to 1 percent of the total loan amount.
The nationwide fee for loans in Freddie Mac's survey averaged 0.7 a point for 30-year, 15-year and 5-year loans. The average fee for 1-year loans was 0.6 of a point.
####
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Faithfully,

Douglas Castle

About Douglas Castle
Douglas Castle - LinkedIn Profile 
The National Networker Companies
Braintenance - Stay razor sharp.
The Internationalist Page - A world without barriers.
The Global Futurist - Revealing trends.
Taking Command! - Mastering your fate.
LINKS 4 LIFE - Crisis resources.
Follow Castle on Twitter 
Follow TNNWC on Twitter
Join Us: Become a Member of the TNNWC Global Interworked Cooperative Business Community (GICBC) at no cost. Click on http://bit.ly/TNNWC

Blog Archive

Bookmark and Share