Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Six Trending Indicators at 7/20/2011 - Evaluate, Extrapolate, Forecast and Prepare.

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These trends and general forecasts have been collected from a variety of sources, but will impact every single aspect of how we Humans, as a species, will live - the economy, the neighborhood, the regulatory proclivities of government, healthcare, aging, housing, quality of life, prevalence of and dependence upon growing technological enhancements, sustainability, the environment, and so many other things. The excerpts presented here are just a small cross-section of what I feel may be worthy of your attention.

Remember: knowledge is power, but only if it is applied.

Remember: vision is the extrapolation of trends enhanced by intuition and imagination - to deny your vision is not only to disrespect yourself, but it is to abdicate your responsibility to yourself and Humankind to mold the future, or to proactively prepare for the future. Letting the future rule you without your ever having cast a single vote is completely leaving your destiny to chance.

6 Trending Indicators at 7/20/2011 - Evaluate, Extrapolate, Forecast and Prepare.

Some article excerpts follow, with a miniscule amount of my input. Position yourself to go through the processes of extrapolation, imagination and be open to intuition. Engage in the exercise of Futurism. You're invited. It is truly an amalgam of art, science and other "mystical processes."



Census Update: What the World Will Look like in 2050
Time.com – Thu, Jun 30, 2011

Here is the world in 2050, as imagined by the U.S. Census Bureau: India will be the most populous nation, surpassing China sometime around 2025. The U.S. will remain exactly where it is now: in third place, with a population of 423 million (up from 308 million in 2010). And declining birth rates in two of the world's most economically and politically influential countries, Japan and Russia, will cause them to fall from their current positions as the 9th and 10th most populous nations, respectively, to 16th and 17th.

The findings are the result of population estimates and projections of 228 countries compiled by the U.S. Census Bureau's International Data Base (IDB). MORE

 

Global leaders call for a major shift to decriminalize drugs

by Liz Goodwin | The LookoutWed, Jun 1, 2011


A slew of big-name former politicians are endorsing a report that says the war on drugs is not working and that drug enforcement policy needs to fundamentally change. The Global Commission on Drug Policy will urge a "paradigm shift" that emphasizes public health over criminalization tomorrow at a meeting in New York City, The Guardian reports.

Those backing the report include former Mexican President Ernesto Zedillo, former UN Secretary General Kofi Annan, former U.S. Secretary of State George Shultz and former Fed Chair Paul Volcker. Former elected leaders of Greece, Brazil and Colombia have also signed on. MORE

How to cure aging: One drug can extend life span

By Boonsri Dickinson | July 7, 2011, 9:44 AM PDT - SmartPlanet

Scientists believe they’ve found a drug that can slow down premature aging in mice and could one day be used to extend human life. This is the story of a drug called rapamycin, nicknamed the forever young drug. The key chemical in this drug was discovered in the soil on the famed, remote Easter Island, reports Technology Review.

Previously, the drug’s wonderful fountain of youth effects were seen in only in invertebrates such as fruit flies, yeast and nematode worms, where it helped cells manufacture new proteins and kept bad cells at bay. But now, the scientists are seeing that it has similar effects on the aging process in mammals. MORE


Consumers embrace mobile commerce globally: 91% in UK and 79% in Brazil have used mobile to engage in commerce

Submitted by Paul Skeldon on July 12, 2011 – Internet Retailing

Consumer engagement with mobile commerce has exploded, with as many as 91% of UK consumers having used their mobile device for commerce, to either research or purchase a product. The equivalent figure for Brazil is 79%, while the level did not dip below 72% in any of the markets surveyed.

According to figures in the Global Consumer Survey from MEF, the global community for mobile content and commerce, 82% of UK respondents access the mobile web on a daily basis, slightly less than the 84% that do so in Brazil. The high level of mobile web and commerce activity dovetail with a reduction in fixed-line internet usage: 41% of Brazilians and more than one-third (34%) of UK respondents now access the internet on their PCs less often than 18 months ago. MORE




The Mobile Way to Biz - by Romy Ribitzky Jul 12 2011 - Portfolio.Com
Carrying a smartphone and a tablet is no longer a business luxury, according to a majority of small businesses. It's a must-have for propelling companies forward, pushing revenues, and landing new clients, finds a survey from The Business Journals.
It's hard to imagine a Millennial entrepreneur or startup leader without a smartphone, tablet, or other mobile device lurking near.

Just 28 years after the first IBM personal computer debuted, the business world—and especially the small- and emerging-business sectors—is embracing mobility, with 59 percent saying wireless services are essential to their business, according to a survey conducted by The Business Journals of 2,223 business owners, CEOs, and presidents of companies with fewer than 500 employees. Read MORE: http://www.portfolio.com/business-news/2011/07/12/mobile-professional-trends-for-2011#ixzz1SbJ4uEHz



FDA plans to regulate some mobile phone apps
APAP – 9 hrs ago July 19th

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Food and Drug Administration is taking the first steps toward regulating the rapidly expanding field of medical applications, or apps, for smart phones and other handheld devices.

With the rise of the iPhone, Android and other mobile devices has come a flood of applications designed to help people stay healthy. Industry analysts estimate there are already more than 17,000 medical applications available, ranging from calorie counters to programs that let doctors view medical scans on their phones.

The FDA says it will begin regulating a handful of these programs that pose the greatest risk if they don't work appropriately.

In a draft proposal, the agency says it will regulate applications that combine with medical devices already regulated by the agency, such as heart monitors that transmit to a smartphone. [end of article extracts]

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One hint to be offered is that at least three of the article extracts are somewhat auto-correlative; that is to say that they relate to a similar topic or topics, so when you are reviewing these bits of data, your mind will have a propensity to focus on these as being more highly significant and you may assign them higher "weights." This is a human behavioral propensity that it is important to be aware of -- sometimes it is the the data provider's way of insinuating his or he own opinion into your evaluation, and sometimes it just happens to do with the frequency of a topic in the media. Anyway, give this bias, deliberate or not, due consideration.

My observation is simply this. Doors are opening -- some of them spell opportunity, and a few of them (the ones which ominously creak as they open) would be far better slammed tightly shut and permanently sealed.

You can tell me which is which. Or perhaps there might be an opportunity (for those with comple 360-degree vision) where others see intrusion, exclusion, invasiveness, the "Nanny State," or dangerous dependencies.

Faithfully,

Douglas E Castle
http://theglobalfuturist.blogspot.com/
http://www.tnnwc.com/

Related articles - Choke Back That Nausea! Have A Look. These are additional articles regarding the above content in The Global Futurist.

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Three Permanent Uber-Variables: Capitalism, Government And Sustainability

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Reality Versus Perception - Real Trends Versus "Aftershock" Reactions

We, as Human Beings, are never particlarly good at making objective decisions, judgments or plans. We are sensorially barraged by overlapping discordant waves of staccato advertisements, promotions, and news which is more about entertainment and propaganda (spin doctoring) than it is about reporting of factual information. We are bombarded by the noise (and accompanying sensorial fatigue) that envelops us, and are shaped, in every aspect, by the external environment.

This having been said, we are each burdened by the imposing filter of his own perception. Even if we are given the right raw data or raw material, we may misinterpret or mismanufacture. This comes from inside of us.

Carried to its logical conclusion, it is very difficult for us to differentiate between what is real (and lasting), and what is imaginary (ephemeral and incorrect). We tend to live our lives in a reactive and defensive state, and it is easy to be misled. It is a tough paradox that rules the way in which we think -- i.e., can a psychotic truly know, with any degree of certainty, when he is hallucinating and when he is not?

Every trend-spotter, forecaster, futurist, strategic planner, entrepreneur, investor and street-crosser must work hard to separate reality from perception. Our inherent subjectivity and our brief, rushed lives stand between us and intelligent conclusions.

It is increasingly difficult to know what indicia signify a "fad" or a "knee-jerk response" from a trend that is meaningful with serious consequences.

There are three big uber-variables at play in the world, and we are constantly being demanded to choose sides, to take action, or to "feel" a certain way about each.

One is government, and all that it involves;

One is capitalism, more often than not confused with "greed," and generally being associated with the privileged political "right."

One is sustainability, more often than not confused with, or lumped indiscriminantly in with, environmentalism, ecological sensitivity, and the political "left."

What I am about to state is merely my own opinion about the above three items, rendered in simplistic terms:

Sustainability might just be here to stay; but then again, capitalism (despite some highly negative press) is not expected to make an exit anytime soon, and government (and divisive, partisan politics) will always be a part of our lives as long as there are more than two people on this planet.

Yours Faithfully,

Douglas E Castle

p.s. If you would like to read an article about how two of these uber-variables, Sustainability and Capitalism, might actually co-exist to the benefit of those supporting either side (there are really no "sides"... there are just generalizations and convenient categorizations), please click on the article link below:


http://expertadviceandinsightsfromtnnwc.blogspot.com/2011/07/sustainability-fueled-by-intelligent.html

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NOTICE: This article is Copyright © 2011 by author Douglas E Castle with all rights reserved. It may be republished without permission provided that it is published in full, with all hyperlinks and exhibits left intact, and with full attribution given the author. This article does not contain or constitute medical, health, psychological, legal, regulatory, investment, securities, financial, tax, or any other form of professional advice -- the reader acknowledges and accepts this disclaimer. Further, the reader indemnifies and holds harmless both the author and all publications in which this article appears of any damages, claims, loss, responsibility or liability emerging from the reader’s utilization of any information contained herein.


About This Author: Further information regarding this author’s professional experience, expertise and service offerings can be found at ABOUT DOUGLAS E CASTLE

Other Blogs And RSS Feeds By This Author: A comprehensive list of blogs and RSS feeds on various subjects written or moderated by Douglas E Castle may be found by clicking on the orange icon below.

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Contact This Author Directly: Click HERE for an instant pop-up form.

You may follow Douglas E Castle on TWITTER 

The author highly recommends that each of his respected readers becomes Pinglerized (a Lingovation™) in order to maximize SEO, search engine ranking, and to exponentially increase both unique visitors and recurring traffic to your website or blog. Leverage this wonderful technology.



The author wishes to thank the following resource providers:

Feedburner, CoolText Graphics, JavaScript Free Code, Zemanta, Google, WordPress, Widgetbox, and Wikipedia
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Labels, Tags, Search Terms, Categories, Keywords, References For This Article: Perception, Social Sciences, Allegory of the Cave, trends, decision-making, staying focused, reality checks, subjectivity, illusion, trend-spotting, fads, the reactive mind, impulse, jumping to conclusions, Douglas E  Castle, altered perception, TNNWC, uber-variables, The Global Futurist Blog, The Internationalist Page Blog, prediction versus supposition, how people think, The Braintenance Blog, psychosis, sensorial overload, hallucination, uber-trends, Lingovations, logic, NLP, mind-mapping, the Subjectivity Paradox...

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NOTICE: This article is Copyright © 2011 by author Douglas E Castle with all rights reserved. It may be republished without permission provided that it is published in full, with all hyperlinks and exhibits left intact, and with full attribution given the author. This article does not contain or constitute medical, health, psychological, legal, regulatory, investment, securities, financial, tax, or any other form of professional advice -- the reader acknowledges and accepts this disclaimer. Further, the reader indemnifies and holds harmless both the author and all publications in which this article appears of any damages, claims, loss, responsibility or liability emerging from the reader’s utilization of any information contained herein.


About This Author: Further information regarding this author’s professional experience, expertise and service offerings can be found at ABOUT DOUGLAS E CASTLE

Other Blogs And RSS Feeds By This Author: A comprehensive list of blogs and RSS feeds on various subjects written or moderated by Douglas E Castle may be found by clicking on the orange icon below.

This Blog Is Powered By TNNWC Group, LLC ™

Contact This Author Directly: Click HERE for an instant pop-up form.

You may follow Douglas E Castle on TWITTER 

The author highly recommends that each of his respected readers becomes Pinglerized (a Lingovation™) in order to maximize SEO, search engine ranking, and to exponentially increase both unique visitors and recurring traffic to your website or blog. Leverage this wonderful technology.



The author wishes to thank the following resource providers:

Feedburner, CoolText Graphics, JavaScript Free Code, Zemanta, Google, WordPress, Widgetbox, and Wikipedia
---------------

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