Sunday, February 27, 2011

A TNNWC NEWS EXCLUSIVE! Qaddafi Speaks Out! - Irreverent Humor.

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A TNNWC NEWS EXCLUSIVE! Qaddafi Speaks Out!

Note: If the Special Article appears either cut off or a bit too small to read, you should either 1) increase the magnification on your browser, or 2) click on the Article to see it in a larger size (with higher definition!) on a separate screen display.
TNNWC Group, its staff, and Douglas Castle are generous supporters of the "What IS Wrong With Your Vision, Anyway?" Foundation for the visually-challenged, and those with their heads either in the sand or elsewhere where light is extremely limited.

Your Insipid (Did I Mean Intrepid?) Reporter*,

Douglas Castle
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BRAIN PACEMAKERS - A Possible Means To Treat Psychiatric Disease And Emotional Illness

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BRAIN PACEMAKERS - A Possible Means To Treat Psychiatric Disease and Emotional Illness.




Note: This Article Commentary was written by author Douglas Castle for initial publication in the LIFE EXTENSION AND ENHANCEMENT Blog on 23rd February, 2011. The Author is also the CEO and Chairman of TNNWC Group (http://www.tnnwc.com/), a company which provides information, publications and services to entreprenerial enterprises and growing companies. To become a Member of TNNWC and enjoy its many benefits today (at no charge), simply go to the Company's home page and look for the "JOIN US" button.
---------------

According to a fascinating article which appears below, courtesy of Associated Press (AP), scientists are researching and experimenting with the possibilities of utilizing electronic stimulation of key areas of the brain to treat psychiatric illnesses.

While the illnesses which will likely receive the most focus initially will tend to be either seizure-related, sensorial- or processing-related, or those involving severe psychomotor symptoms or even some types of psychosis caused by neurochemical imbalances which may be remedied or inhibited by electrochemical means, there is also the possibility (and hope) for treatments of some more commonplace, but nonetheless debilitating emotional disorders.

As scientists become more familiar with the intricacies of the various parts of the brain, their functions, their specific neurochemistry, and the relationships between synaptic neurochemistry and responses to various types and levels of electronic stimulation, these theories might lead to procedures which will may replace the need for certain psychiatric drugs and other treatments. Perhaps some of these electronic stimulus techniques, when properly refined and satisfactorily tested will make it possible to reduce or eliminate dosages of or classes of psychotropic medications or surgeries.

All treatments currently in use have serious potential side effects, and all of those protocols presently employed have certain limitations and drawbacks.

The brain operates through a very complex system which incorporates biochemistry, magnetism, electrical impulses and a variety of other forces. In better understanding the nature of these forces in terms of their cause and effect relationships as correlated with various aspects of mental function and behavior, scientists are increasingly optimistic that there will be breakthroughs during the course of the next decade.

The methods being discussed are a far cry from radical surgeries and the rather primitive techniques of electroconvulsive therapy ("ECT" or "Shock Therapy") for treatments of conditions from epilepsy to schizophrenia.

The referenced article follows for your information.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle
LIFE EXTENSION AND ENHANCEMENT
LINKS 4 LIFE
BRAINTENANCE
THE GLOBAL FUTURIST

--------------- ####

Trying brain pacemakers to zap psychiatric disease

By LAURAN NEERGAARD, Associated Press Medical Writer Mon Feb 21, 8:27 am ET

WASHINGTON – Call them brain pacemakers, tiny implants that hold promise for fighting tough psychiatric diseases — if scientists can figure out just where in all that gray matter to put them.

Deep brain stimulation, or DBS, has proved a powerful way to block the tremors of Parkinson's disease. Blocking mental illness isn't nearly as easy a task.

But a push is on to expand research into how well these brain stimulators tackle the most severe cases of depression, obsessive-compulsive disorder and Tourette's syndrome — to know best how to use them before too many doctors and patients clamor to try.

"It's not a light switch," cautions Dr. Michael Okun of the University of Florida.

Unlike with tremor patients, the psychiatric patients who respond to DBS tend to improve gradually, sometimes to their frustration.

And just because the tics of Tourette's fade or depression lightens doesn't mean patients can abandon traditional therapy. They also need help learning to function much as recipients of hip replacements undergo physical therapy, says Dr. Helen Mayberg of Emory University.

"Once your brain is returned to you, now you have to learn to use it," she told the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.

Roughly 70,000 people around the world have undergone deep brain stimulation for Parkinson's or other movement disorders when standard medications fail, says Okun, among leading researchers who gathered at that meeting last week to assess the field.

How does it work? Surgeons implant a wire deep in the brain. Tiny electrical jolts — running from a pacemaker-like generator near the collarbone up the neck to that electrode — disable overactive nerve cells to curb the shaking.

Scientists figured out which spot to target based on surgery that sometimes helps worst-case Parkinson's patients by destroying patches of brain tissue. But with deep brain stimulation, the electrodes don't destroy that tissue. The electrical signals can be adjusted or even turned off if they don't help, or if they cause neurological side effects. (The surgery, however, does sometimes cause dangerous brain bleeding or infections.)

Psychiatric illnesses require a similar operation — but surgeons must implant the electrode into a different spot in the brain.

There's the rub: It's not clear which spot is best for which psychiatric disease. In fact, two manufacturers — Medtronic and St. Jude Medical — have begun major studies of DBS' effects on depression. Each places the implant in a different region, based on promising pilot studies.

And the Food and Drug Administration in 2009 approved Medtronic's version for a small group of obsessive-compulsive patients who get no relief from today's treatments, under a special program that lets devices for rare conditions sell before there's final proof that they work. Dr. Joseph Fins, medical ethics chief at New York Presbyterian Hospital, worries that may hurt efforts to get such proof. The more available the electrodes are, the more people may seek to try the $30,000 surgeries without enrolling in strict trials.

How good is the evidence so far? The researchers are pushing for a registry to track DBS recipients to better tell, but overall they're cautiously optimistic.

Just over 60 people with intractable obsessive-compulsive disorder have undergone DBS since 2000, says Dr. Benjamin Greenberg, a Brown University psychiatrist who is heading a major study funded by the National Institute of Mental Health. About three-fourths of the first few dozen patients studied significantly improved, some as long as eight years.

"You still have a burden, but you have a life," is how he describes the improvement.

These are people who try to relieve fears or anxiety with obsessive behavior, such as washing their hands or checking locks repeatedly — many of whom never got out of the house because their daily rituals consumed so much time, Greenberg says.They'd failed behavior therapy designed to teach that whatever they fear doesn't happen if they skip the ritual.

But with the brain pacemaker, somehow that behavior therapy starts working, Greenberg says — maybe by enabling their brains to better remember the lessons.

One big hurdle: The battery, tucked near the collarbone, tends to last less than two years. Changing it entails outpatient surgery, one reason that about a third of studied patients stop getting zapped. So Greenberg just began testing a newer version that patients can recharge every few days.

Results on about 100 DBS patients with severe depression have been published so far, and roughly half improve regardless of which of the two targeted brain regions is zapped, says Emory's Mayberg, who shares a patent licensed to St. Jude.

Separately, she's now studying what the successfully treated brains have in common that might help predict the best candidates, hoping to ease "a tremendous burden on the patients" as they decide whether to try these experiments.

___

EDITOR's NOTE — Lauran Neergaard covers health and medical issues for The Associated Press in Washington. ####


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Tags, Labels and Key Words: brain mapping, neurochemistry, electroconvulsive therapy, EEG, ECT, lobotomy, synapse, brain chemistry, stimulus-response, psychotropic medications, nootropic drugs, scientific advancement, healthcare, psychiatric disease, emotional illness, epilepsy, schizophrenia, brain electrochemistry, Life Extension And Enhancement Blog, Associated Press, health matters, transhumanism, Braintenance Blog, The Global Futurist Blog, Douglas E. Castle, gray matter, convolutions, mysteries of the mind, suggestion, behavioral psychology, electricity and the brain, mental illness treatment, seizure disorders, cingulotomy, prefrontal lobotomy, intelligence, perfecting Humankind, emerging technologies, TNNWC Group publications and services, modern medicine, treasures of the cranial vault, pacemakers, cardiology, irregular heartbeat, electromagnetic waves...



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Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Rare Earth Elements: The United States Government is Increasingly Supportive of Aggressive Domestic Mining of REEs.

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Rare Earth Elements: The United States Government is Increasingly Supportive of Aggressive Domestic Mining of REEs.

Dear Friends:

In the interests of shoring up national security, stimulating economic self-sufficiency and in a move to spur technological innovation and productivity, the U.S. government is becoming increasingly vociferous about the aggressive mining of domestic reserves of Rare Earth Elements ("REEs").

REEs are projected to become an increasingly significant component of the newest generation of technologies, and traditional supply sources of REEs from outside of the U.S., principally from China, are increasingly the subject of political posturing and deliberate trade restriction. The United States has vast untapped but geologically proven reserves of these REEs.

As supplies become threatened and as demand is projected to increase, the United States (through both the private and public sectors, acting in concert) is seeking to accelerate domestic mining and refining of these special metals.

The article below is merely an example of what is already "heating up."

For more information regarding the Rare Earth Elements, their unique properties and their uses, please refer directly to http://thoriumenergyinc.blogspot.com/, where the original posting of this article appeared.

While I do not offer financial or investment advice in any of my blogs, including, but not limited to The Global Futurist, Links 4 Life or Thorium And The Rare Earth Elements, the future appears to be looking increasingly positive regarding companies which own large tracts of land and the associated mining rights for REEs.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle [ http://www.douglascastleblogosphere.com/ ]

####

In Wyoming, push to mine rare earths in US forest

By MEAD GRUVER, Associated Press Mead Gruver, Associated Press Sun Feb 20, 12:13 pm ET
SUNDANCE, Wyo. – A Canadian company hoping to compete with China's near-monopoly of rare earth elements — metals critical for everything from U.S. military weaponry to wind turbines — wants to open a strip mine inside a national forest in northeast Wyoming.

Processing raw ore into rare earths is an intensive operation that has been associated with radioactive water spills. But with China slashing exports of rare earths and Washington concerned the U.S. military could face a shortage of materials for lasers, smart bombs, guided missiles, night-vision goggles and jet engines, Don Ranta is optimistic about his Black Hills National Forest mine proposal.

"Everything we've seen so far looks very, very bullish for it to be a commercial project," said Ranta, CEO of Vancouver, British Columbia-based Rare Element Resources. If approved and if it goes into production, the mine would be located about 15 miles from Devils Tower National Monument, the nation's first national monument.

For its particular combination of rare earths, Wyoming's Bear Lodge Mountains rank close behind a mine at Mountain Pass in southeastern California as North America's best verified source of the minerals, said John Kaiser, editor of the Kaiser Bottom Fish website, which tracks global metals markets and mining companies.

"In the long run, I think it will end up being even bigger than Mountain Pass," Kaiser said.

Rare earths are 17 minerals used to make many products that didn't exist all that long ago. Neodymium is used to make magnets in the electric motors of hybrid cars. Europium goes into compact fluorescent bulbs.

Rare earths with critical military applications include samarium, used for super-strong samarium-cobalt magnets that help steer guided missiles. The General Accounting Office, Congress' auditing arm, reported in April that the Navy's Aegis Spy-1 radar, expected to be used for 35 years, uses samarium-cobalt magnets that will need replacement during the system's service life. Defense contractors use China-supplied neodymium magnets in motors used to build fuel-saving hybrid electric drives for U.S. Navy destroyers, the GAO reported.

Rare earths aren't scarce. But few places exist with enough concentrations to mine profitably, and they are difficult to isolate in a purified form.

Cheap labor and low environmental standards enabled China to dominate the rare earths market starting in the 1990s, and the country currently supplies 97 percent of the world rare earths market.

But even as demand soars for rare earths, China is cracking down on rare earths smuggling and cutting legal exports. Together, that will reduce the global rare earths market by 25 percent.

The result will likely be dramatically less rare earths on the global market, Kaiser said, until new sources can be mined.

"That's going to cause a serious problem for users outside China," he said.

Global rare earths prices have soared in recent months, in some cases up to six-fold. In January, President Barack Obama signed a defense spending authorization ordering Defense Secretary Robert Gates to ensure U.S. access to rare earths.

Mountain Pass is the only U.S. mine producing rare earths. Mining there ceased because of heavy Chinese competition in 2002 and only resumed in December amid the much-improved market outlook.

In 1998, Greenwood Village, Colo.-based Molycorp Minerals Inc., operator of the Mountain Pass mine, paid a $410,000 fine after being accused of spilling 350,000 gallons of wastewater from the facility. The water contained lead and radioactive elements including uranium and thorium.

A $500 million reconstruction of the mine, begun in January, will produce rare earths more cheaply by recycling and reusing processing acids, according to company spokesman Jim Sims. He said the technique would allow lower production costs than the Chinese, "with a dramatically smaller environmental footprint."

Other potentially important untapped rare earths reserves exist in Quebec, Canada's Northwest Territories and Alaska, Kaiser said.

Rare Element Resources doesn't immediately plan to refine ore into rare earth oxides at the Bear Lodge Mountains, which could add $150 million to the project's $87 million estimated cost, Ranta said.

He suggested Molycorp could for a time process the Wyoming ore, enabling his company to focus on the first significant commercial mining operation in Black Hills National Forest since the World War II era.

For a Wyoming mountain range, the Bear Lodge Mountains are obscure — barely over a mile high. Both Devils Tower and the rare earths deposits are relics of volcanic activity 40 million to 60 million years ago.

Rare Element Resources' strip mine would be up to 500 feet deep, though Ranta, a geologist, said that would be small compared to the vast strip mines 60 miles to the west that produce much of the nation's coal.

His company has secured 16 square miles of mining claims inside the forest and plans to continue drilling sampling holes after seeing promising concentrations of rare earths in samples taken last year, Ranta said.

Talk about rare earths mining has drawn little attention in Wyoming. But environmentalist Nancy Hilding, president of the Prairie Hills Audubon Society of western South Dakota, said mining companies often fail to protect groundwater as promised.

Any national forest development is subject to intensive review, said forest spokesman Frank Carroll. The Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality also would need to approve a mine. It has taken no position on Rare Element's proposal.

The final feasibility study for the mine is not expected until the end of 2012.

"Let's start producing rare earths in the United States so that we start having a self-sufficient supply," Ranta said. #### [End AP Article]

Tags, Labels and Terms: Rare Earth Elements, domestic mining, economic recovery, rare earth metals, economic self-sufficiency, Lemhi Pass, emerging technology, emerging China, US government policy, commodities markets, geology, TNNWC Membership, Blogs by Douglas E. Castle, The Global Futurist Blog, Links 4 Life Blog, TNNWC Blog, rare earth oxides, changing global balance of power, US National Security, energy independence.


Originally published in THORIUM AND THE RARE EARTH ELEMENTS by author Douglas Castle. Mr. Castle is the Chairman and Director Of Business Strategy of TNNWC Group, LLC, with does not have any investments or interests in Thorium or Rare Earth Elements, either as commodities, or in the form of ownership in operating companies. Become a Member of TNNWC Group (at no cost or obligation) to receive these reports - Just click on http://www.tnnwc.com/ and join us. 

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Sunday, February 13, 2011

CYBERCOMMERCE - An Accelerating and Viral Trend - The Global Futurist

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CYBERCOMMERCE - An Accelerating and Viral Trend

Dear Friends, Fellow Futurists, Entrepreneurial Enthusiasts, TNNWC Members and other parties interested in divining the future:

Just to set the stage ---

The recent turn of political and social events in Northern Africa and the Middle East were largely initiated and propagated through the use of social media -- messages traveling about in cyberspace between and among large groups of curious and questioning persons without regard to political, geographical and other barriers. Social Media is officially a tool of revolution...perhaps it can be used as a tool to unite people in peace by allowing them to have conversations instead of speculations. Truth can replace rumors, and first-hand knowledge can enhance empathy and education. Social media is a weapon in the War On Ignorance. It cuts through propaganda like a comet through space.

Forecasted increases in the cost of fuel are making physical journeys less affordable, less appealing and increasingly unnecessary.

The demand for commercial real estate (especially for offices and large showrooms) is going to be waning because of the decreased demand in increased costs of business occupancy. Housing markets are born of Human necessity, but the commercial real estate market is fueled by economics. Why do I need a gallery, when I can have a high-resolution slide show on my ecommerce-enabled website?

While the entire global economy has been going through seizures and frightening volatility, consumption in the Western nations has declined for many products - yet an increasing percentage of these products can be and are being purchased online.

Unemployment is a persistent and real problem. Conventional employers do not have access to the same credit facilities and market demand that once allowed them to be pompous and profligate. Entrepreneurship is becoming an increasingly viable alternative because of the notion of telecommuting and cybercommerce. The financial barriers to entry which once held back aspiring entrepreneurs intranationally and globally are fast disappearing as the means to creating growing online business enterprises becomes cheaper, more readily available to most everyone, and more efficient with the invention of endless technological innovations and applications.

Get used to the notion of CYBERCOMMERCE. It is rapidly coming to dominate every single aspect of our lives. Expect it to continue. And now, if you'll excuse me, I have to be on a conference call with a colleague in England via Skype - and the long-distance conversation will be absolutely free.

Advice: Think about the implications and impact of Cybercommerce in every decision, personal, professional and financial, that you must make. You would be very foolish not to.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle

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Tags, Labels and Terms: cyberspace, cybercommerce, TNNWC Group, Douglas Castle, social media revolution, critical mind mass, propaganda, free-flow of information, the information revolution, ecommerce, international conversations, increasing direct communication, increasing indirect communications, transcending geography, commercial real estate market, fuel prices, telecommuting, crowd sourcing, crowdsourcing, collective thought, instant information, tools to navigate cyberspace, The Global Futurist

Tuesday, February 8, 2011

PROPHETS, FUTURISTS...OR BEHAVIORAL PSYCHOLOGISTS?

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PROPHETS, FUTURISTS...OR BEHAVIORAL PSYCHOLOGISTS?
Dear Friends, Colleagues, TNNWC Members, Future Leaders and Global Futurists:

Certain historical figures (aside from the Nostradamus, who was a mystic and a poet; aside from the Mayans as a race, who had technologies and other gifts at their disposal which remained largely unexplained; and aside from the amazing Edgar Cayce, who had the ability to "see" at great distances, and to "feel" and diagnose various health and life problems -- an almost preternatural gift which he used altruistically) have had a certain "knack" for prescience -- the ability to predict the future, or to foresee future events -- which I believe I am just beginning to understand.

Those I speak of are Aldous Huxley, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell...perhaps even John of the New Testament, whose hands wrote what later became known as the Book Of Revelations while in the solitude of his prison cell.

Were these men prophets? While they did not predict immediate events in the shorter timeframe with any degree of exactitude, they did forecast many larger things which have come to pass over longer spans of time at a racial or global level (i.e., planetary, involving a major portion of Humankind). These particular gentlemen were futurists, each in his own right. How were they able to see the direction in which Humankind was headed?

My belief is that they had two things in common, aside from their inordinate intelligence and dedication to expression: 1) they were each and all devoted students of the Human condition; and 2) they were each and all, whether trained or intuitively, BEHAVIORAL PSYCHOLOGISTS. This is neither to discredit them nor to even diminish their greatness.

I believe that some of these celebrated prophets or Futurists were, in fact, predominantly powerfully intuitive behavioral scientists who merely extrapolated Human propensities and patterns to their most logical conclusion.

Futurists come from the fields of history, economics, archaeology, anthropology, to name just a few. But regardless of their academic and professional training, I believe the most powerful gift that one must possess in order to be an effective Futurist is the ability to understand Human behavior -- the conduct of indivduals, the behavior of mobs... the flow and ebb of social movements at a macroscopic level.

Yes - there are elements of art and science to prediciting the future...but there is also the uncanny ability to undertand how people behave, especially when reacting to certain socio-economic stressors.

To be a Global Futurist and to engage in prediction, you must study the waves, patterns and cycles of the history of our species, as well as the key fundamentals about the workings of the Human Mind. These are first and foremost. The thing that makes this less challenging than it might otherwise be is that as a species, we have advanced technologically far more rapidly and significantly than we have evolved spiritually, philosophically and cerebrally.

Every good Futurist is, either consciously, or unconsciously, a student of Human behvioral science.

The part that saddens me is that we Humans, as a species, are so easily predictable in our simple stimulus-response patterns that have ensnared us from true advancement since the dawning of this arrangement which we refer to as "civilization." This predictability, this shortness of memory and adherence to unproductive patterns of conduct are what make us so predictable.

If we wish to change the future, we must consciously work to change the present.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle
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Sunday, February 6, 2011

2011 Forecast Alert - Revised and Refined - THE GLOBAL FUTURIST

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2011 Forecast Alert - Revised and Refined - THE GLOBAL FUTURIST

Dear Friends, Colleagues, TNNWC Members and Fellow Futurists:

Much is happening very quickly. Signs of trends are fairly easy to recognize, and extrapolating these trends (subject to constant fine-tuning and to the vagaries of events which are unpredictable by today's best available science, i.e., typhoons, etcetera, science.

When the rate of change accelerates, this makes the sport/game/science/art of prognostication more complex -- and requires much more frequent analyses to accommodate and increase in the number and volatility of variables. Preparing your personal, business and financial affairs for a hailstorm of successive rapid changes is quite a challenge. Here are some immediate hardships and opportunities directly ahead within the next 3 months to 12 months.

This is not economic, tax, business, financial, investment, legal or health advice. It is merely a statement of the point of view of Douglas Castle (http://aboutdouglascastle.blogspot.com/) .
---------------

1. Tremendous increasing instability in the Middle East and Northern Africa, brought about through the revolution in open Social Media and citizen journalism. While the citizens and servants of various monarchies, dictatorships and despotic regimes are calling for increased administrative transparancy, democratic government reforms and greater freedoms, these media-emboldened masses are not merely fighting in a world of ideas; they are in a massive power struggle -- extremist religious groups, fickle government military forces, and the escalating threat of chaos (instead of coalition) amkes the outcome of these brushfire revolutions unclear. Several things are certain, though, with the perception of threats to the security of the Suez Canal and the Straits of Hormuz, on top of increasingly negative revelations about bansk and financial institutions worldwide and rapid changes in the weather worldwide -- from record-breaking snowfalls, to flooding and the resurgence of such diseases as cholera.

2. Skyrocketing oil prices worldwide, especially in the United States. Expect oil at $120 - $160 per barrel before year-end, with gasoline at $5.00 gallon at the pumps. This will increase unemployment in all western economies, and increase profits for the major international oil companies.

3. ETFs and other investments in Southeast Asia, Brazil and India will outperform most if not all alternatives worldwide.

4. Prices of agricultural commodities will increase precariously worldwide, and to a slightly lesser, but significant degree in the United States. The disparity between household income and regular living expenses will drive many U.S and other citizens and servants worldwide into poverty, with all of its horrific side-effects.

5. There will be heavy lobbying in the United States for an expanded military budget, despite current rhetoric about troop withdrawals and scaling down the defense budget. In a panic response to fear of international instability and the never-ending "War On Terror" (there's an oxymoron!). The military budget will be increased, and significantly. Companies involved in "country rebuilding" (trained mercenaries with state-of-the-art weaponry, ready to be deployed to whatever troubled part of the world management dictates) will prosper - Hail Halliburton, Blackwater and their ilk. They will profit intensely while The U.S. and other governments nefariously convert national funds toward "subcontracting" fights -- this is indeed a crafty way for the government to camouflague tremendously increased government spending. Much of this will be at the expense of education and the public welfare.

Your might find my most recent article in THE INTERNATIONALIST PAGE BLOG to be of considerable interest in relation to the above Alert.

Additionally, on the horizon:
  • In the United States, individual states will be testing their "right to declare bankruptcy" in the courts, in a tug-of-war with a very expensive and fiscally irresponsible government. This will not bode well for state workers or for the prices of municipal bonds;

  • Social networking sites and platforms will increase their data-gathering, data-mining and data-selling efforts, revenues and control of the media, in general. They will be glorified (Facebook) and demonized (Facebook);

  • Privacy will become a growing industry. Weapons sales (private sector, both legal and illegal) will increase worldwide. Online reputation management and protection will become a growing industry. Internet intelligence-gathering (web-scraping, aggregating) will be a growing industry. Alternative forms of agriculture using alternative forms of energy (non-fossil fuels) will become the subject of greater interest;

  • Crowdfundings and micro-fundings (private) will increase dramatically in popularity;

  • Radical climate change and extreme weather will continue to increase all agricultural commodity prices, and many of the insurance companies that provide various insurances against the risks associated with "bad growing seasons" and the like will be fighting to stay alive by disputing a plethora of claims from angry, injured insureds.
Please stock up on potable water -- it will be in decreasing supply. Some technological investment opportunities will emerge in the interest of curing a global drinking water shortage.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle


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Saturday, February 5, 2011

2011 Forecast Alert - Revisited and Refined - THE GLOBAL FUTURIST

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2011 Forecast Alert - Revised and Refined - THE GLOBAL FUTURIST

Dear Friends, Colleagues, TNNWC Members and Fellow Futurists:

Much is happening very quickly. Signs of trends are fairly easy to recognize, and extrapolating these trends (subject to constant fine-tuning and to the vagaries of events which are unpredictable by today's best available science, i.e., typhoons, etcetera, science.

When the rate of change accelerates, this makes the sport/game/science/art of prognostication more complex -- and requires much more frequent analyses to accommodate and increase in the number and volatility of variables. Preparing your personal, business and financial affairs for a hailstorm of successive rapid changes is quite a challenge. Here are some immediate hardships and opportunities directly ahead within the next 3 months to 12 months.

This is not economic, tax, business, financial, investment, legal or health advice. It is merely a statement of the point of view of Douglas Castle (http://aboutdouglascastle.blogspot.com/) .
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1. Tremendous increasing instability in the Middle East and Northern Africa, brought about through the revolution in open Social Media and citizen journalism. While the citizens and servants of various monarchies, dictatorships and despotic regimes are calling for increased administrative transparancy, democratic government reforms and greater freedoms, these media-emboldened masses are not merely fighting in a world of ideas; they are in a massive power struggle -- extremist religious groups, fickle government military forces, and the escalating threat of chaos (instead of coalition) amkes the outcome of these brushfire revolutions unclear. Several things are certain, though, with the perception of threats to the security of the Suez Canal and the Straits of Hormuz, on top of increasingly negative revelations about bansk and financial institutions worldwide and rapid changes in the weather worldwide -- from record-breaking snowfalls, to flooding and the resurgence of such diseases as cholera.

2. Skyrocketing oil prices worldwide, especially in the United States. Expect oil at $120 - $160 per barrel before year-end, with gasoline at $5.00 gallon at the pumps. This will increase unemployment in all western economies, and increase profits for the major international oil companies.

3. ETFs and other investments in Southeast Asia, Brazil and India will outperform most if not all alternatives worldwide.

4. Prices of agricultural commodities will increase precariously worldwide, and to a slightly lesser, but significant degree in the United States. The disparity between household income and regular living expenses will drive many U.S and other citizens and servants worldwide into poverty, with all of its horrific side-effects.

5. There will be heavy lobbying in the United States for an expanded military budget, despite current rhetoric about troop withdrawals and scaling down the defense budget. In a panic response to fear of international instability and the never-ending "War On Terror" (there's an oxymoron!). The military budget will be increased, and significantly. Companies involved in "country rebuilding" (trained mercenaries with state-of-the-art weaponry, ready to be deployed to whatever troubled part of the world management dictates) will prosper - Hail Halliburton, Blackwater and their ilk. They will profit intensely while The U.S. and other governments nefariously convert national funds toward "subcontracting" fights -- this is indeed a crafty way for the government to camouflague tremendously increased government spending. Much of this will be at the expense of education and the public welfare.

Your might find my most recent article in THE INTERNATIONALIST PAGE BLOG to be of considerable interest in relation to the above Alert.

Additionally, on the horizon:
  • In the United States, individual states will be testing their "right to declare bankruptcy" in the courts, in a tug-of-war with a very expensive and fiscally irresponsible government. This will not bode well for state workers or for the prices of municipal bonds;

  • Social networking sites and platforms will increase their data-gathering, data-mining and data-selling efforts, revenues and control of the media, in general. They will be glorified (Facebook) and demonized (Facebook);

  • Privacy will become a growing industry. Weapons sales (private sector, both legal and illegal) will increase worldwide. Online reputation management and protection will become a growing industry. Internet intelligence-gathering (web-scraping, aggregating) will be a growing industry. Alternative forms of agriculture using alternative forms of energy (non-fossil fuels) will become the subject of greater interest;

  • Crowdfundings and micro-fundings (private) will increase dramatically in popularity;

  • Radical climate change and extreme weather will continue to increase all agricultural commodity prices, and many of the insurance companies that provide various insurances against the risks associated with "bad growing seasons" and the like will be fighting to stay alive by disputing a plethora of claims from angry, injured insureds.
Please stock up on potable water -- it will be in decreasing supply. Some technological investment opportunities will emerge in the interest of curing a global drinking water shortage.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle
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